Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 28 – The Moscow
Patriachate may have succeeded in intimidating the Universal Patriarch of
Constantinople not to grant autocephaly to its rival in Ukraine, the Kyiv
Patriarchate; but as a result of the war and the attitude of the two churches
to it, an increasing number of parishes are shifting their allegiance from
Moscow to Kyiv.
The Moscow Patriarchate still has
far more parishes in Ukraine than does the Ukrainian Patriarchate, 12,515 to 4877
respectively, but the shift of some 60 parishes on their own volition from the first
to the last is “unprecedented,” according to Ukrainian analyst Ivan Verstyuk (nv.ua/publications/kak-prihody-moskovskogo-patriarhata-stanovjatsja-kievskimi-93219.html).
Never before have so many parishes
transferred allegiance in this way; and this shift, while still relatively
small calls attention to two important developments: the growing strength of
Ukrainian identity and opposition to Moscow, and the fact that in Ukraine,
Moscow parishes are now vastly outnumbered by those of the Kyiv Patriarchate
and other Christian denominations.
According to Ukraine’s culture
ministry, there are now approximately 16,000 Christian church parishes in that
country not subordinate to Moscow, compared to only 12,500 that are. As a
result, Moscow Patriarch Kirill’s talk about Ukraine as “the canonical
territory” of the Russian Orthodox Church has ever less of a foundation in
reality.
Most of the shifts in subordination
have taken place in Western Ukraine, although intriguingly some have occurred
near the front lines. And more are in
prospect given a shift in popular attitudes. In 2011, 31.1 percent of
Ukrainians said they supported the Kyiv Patriarchate while 25.9 percent said
they supported the Moscow one.
Now, those figures have shifted,
with 44.2 percent of Ukrainians declaring that they support the Kyiv
Patriarchate and only 20.8 percent supporting the Moscow church. If Constantinople recognizes the Kyiv
Patriarchate as independent, the number of churches which will change size will
rise dramatically.
Given that, Moscow, both the church
and the state, is doing everything it can to block such a move. At present, the Moscow Patriarchate’s 12,500
parishes in Ukraine constitute more than a third of all its parishes in the
world. If it loses them to Kyiv, the Moscow Patriarchate will be marginalized
not only internationally but at home as well.
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