Paul Goble
Staunton, January 31 – Over the last
five years, something remarkable but often unremarked has been happening in the
Baltic states: thousands of Russians, faced with oppression in their homeland,
have fled to Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania where they are not only making a
home but working to transform the political situation in Russia itself.
One Russian who passed through Riga
suggests that as a result the Latvian capital has become “an intellectual Hong
Kong” for Russia much as Hong Kong has for China in recent years and as Riga
itself did for the Soviet Union in the 1920s and 1930s (svoboda.org/content/transcript/27354348.html).
Aleksandr
Genis says that “the fact that Riga is becoming one of the centers of free
Russian culture is an extraordinarily interesting development … one can imagine
that similar processes will happen across the near abroad.” Others agree: Artemy Troitsky, a Russian
music critic now living in Tallinn, predicts “a mass exodus” of the Russian
opposition to these countries (bbc.com/russian/blogs/2016/01/160120_blog_troitsky_forecast_2016).
Troitsky
even goes so far as to say that “the center of gravity of [Russian] opposition
activity is gradually shifting from Russia to foreign countries” and that this
process may give birth to “something like ‘a government in exile,’” a
description that recalls some of the views of Russian emigres before World War
II.
“It
is very doubtful,” Kristina Khudenko and Vitaly Khlapkovsky write for the Delfi
new portal, that any such “’government in exile’” will appear “on Baltic soil.” But they point out that “Russians are
becoming ever more numerous” in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and say “this is
not simply ‘Jurmala dacha owners’ or those who have bought an apartment to gain
a residence permit in the Shengen zone” (m.rus.delfi.lv/article.php?id=46978201).
In contrast to most media
discussions of the phenomenon of Russian flight, the two journalists provide
statistical information from each to back up their arguments, thus highlighting
a trend that undercuts Moscow propaganda about the Baltic countries and shows
that Russians oppressed at home increasingly view these three NATO and EU
countries as safe havens.
In Estonia, 7731 Russian citizens
live on the basis of a temporary residence permit. (Those with permanent
residence permits are mostly ethnic Russians who have been in Estonia since the
times of the Soviet occupation. Since
2013, 3474 Russians have received temporary residence permits there, and 5319
have extended theirs.
Troitsky is perhaps “the most
notable Russian ‘émigré’” in Estonia, the Delfi journalists say. But there are
many others: Filipp Bakhtin the former editor of the Russian version of “Esquire,”
Filipp Dzyadko, the former editor of “Bolshoy gorod,” actresses Chulpan
Khamatova, Viktoriya Tolstoganova, and Alisa Khasanova, actor Yevgeny Stychkin,
director Boris Khlebnikov “and many others” from the world of art and the
media.
Just under a year ago, ecologist
Yevgeniya Chirikova who became famous for her defense of the Khimki forest, fled
to Tallinn to escape persecution in Russia. Blogger Maksim Yefimov who got in
trouble at home for criticizing the Russian Orthodox Church has had political
refugee status in Estonia since 2012.
And the list of Russians who have
decided to make Estonia their home goes on and on, Khudenko and Khlapkovsky say, with many of them simply seeking to live
their lives without fear and others to promote change in the Russian
Federation.
Latvia,
the Delfi journalists point out, is the Baltic country where this influx has
been the most draatic. In 2009, there
were only 3351 Russians with temporary residence status there; now there are
13,362. This growth happened because of
a Latvian law that gives such status to those who purchase property in the
republic.
The
growth in the number of Russians settling in Latvia has slowed since 2014
because Latvian legislators have tightened the rules for offering residence
permits. “The reason,” the two journalists say, “involves concerns that the newly
arriving Russians will become part of ‘a fifth column.’”
What
is ironic about that, they say, is that “a large part of ‘the new Russians’
moved to the Baltic precisely for that reason: many of them have been listed as
being part of ‘the fifth column’ in their motherland.”
The
list of Russian media figures, artists, actors and intellectuals who have
settled in Latvia is even larger than it is in Estonia or Lithuania. Many of them continue to issue Internet
publications directed at Russians in the Russian Federation. Others are simply
prominent intellectuals who do their own work, and many divide their time
between Latvia and Russia.
Those
who have resettled in Latvia overwhelmingly say that they identify with their
new country and would either defend it or flee if Moscow sought to extend the
boundaries of Putin’s “Russian world” to include Latvia.
Two
cases are currently attracting a great deal of attention: After the murder of
Boris Nemtsov, Kseniya Sobchak said that she was considering the possibility of
emigrating to Latvia although she has not yet done so. And Dmitry Kuzmin, a
Russian LGBT activist, who now lives in Riga because “Russian culture needs
bases beyond the country’s borders.”
And
in Lithuania, some 4260 Russians sought temporary residence in 2015. (During
the same year, 5441 citizens of Ukraine and 3844 citizens of Belarus did the
same.). Forty-two Russian citizens have
sought refugee status, with nine having obtained it, and five have been offered
additional legal defense.
“In
a certain sense,” the Delfi journalists say, Lithuania “has become a Mecca for
the Russian opposition,” with many activists and journalists who were oppressed
after the 2011-2012 protests choosing to live in that Baltic country. Many are
operating their own companies, especially in IT, and generally promoting the
development of Lithuania.
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