Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 14 – As Russia’s
economic situation deteriorates and threats to Vladimir Putin’s power increase,
the Kremlin leader is likely considering ways including even the possibility of
launching a limited nuclear strike to justify the imposition of martial law and
the cancellation of upcoming elections in Russia, according to Slava
Rabinovich.
The Russian financier and blogger,
in a posting on the Ukrainian Apostrophe portal today, argues that these
dangers reflect the Kremlin leader’s misreading of the situation regarding “color”
revolutions and of the ability of anyone to keep a nuclear war limited (apostrophe.com.ua/article/world/2016-01-14/putin-boitsya-revolyutsii-i-ne-isklyuchaet-yadernoy-voynyi/2933).
But Rabinovich suggests that Putin’s “track
record” in recent years indicates that he is quite prepared to engage in the
most outrageous, dangerous and, until he did them, unthinkable actions and that
the rest of the world must recognize the profoundly dangerous nature of his
regime.
Putin and Nikolay Patrushev, the
secretary of the Russian Security Council “really fear so-called ‘color’
revolutions,” and think that the West is planning to carry one out in Russia
itself, forgetting that Putin and “his organized criminal group” have destroyed
all the bases for such a revolution, Rabinovich says.
“A revolution in Russia really will
take place sooner or later,” he continues. “This will happen when the economic
problems of the population grow first into economic demands and then into
political ones. There won’t be any ‘external forces’ acting in the way in which
Putin and Patrushev imagine.
But the two of them are convinced
otherwise and fear such a “color” revolution in Russia because if one did
occur, they would be out of power and not only “in flight but in the dock at
the Hague,” and that is something they can imagine very well indeed.”
“In fact,” Rabinovich says, “Putin
and Patrushev are psychopaths, who are living in the 1970s. Despite what people think, “they think in the
categories of KGB officers” of that time and, “besides that, the two of them
are psychopaths” whose actions are less affected by their environment than by
their own internal demons.
In the year ahead, the Russian
commentator says there is “a 50 percent chance that the elections in Russia
will be put off as a result of the introduction of martial law” because in the
minds of Putin and Patrushev even if the regime maintains tight control over
the process, there is a risk that there could be a popular explosion, one far
more dangerous than that of 2011.
But to introduce martial law, the
two Kremlin operatives need a pretext. “They
looked for it in Syria and now they are searching for it in Turkey and they may
look somewhere else as well.” And the danger is that “they are really made and
have begun not to exclude the possibility of even a limited nuclear war through
the use of a tactical nuclear weapon.”
The goal would be to “frighten the
entire world,” he says. “Does this
appear to be a bad idea or an improbable one?”
How about the annexation of Crimea, the war in the Donbas, the shooting
down of the Malaysian jetliner, the war in Syria, and bombing of Syrian
Turkomans despite Ankara’s warning, and the violation of Turkish airspace? Were
these all good ideas?
“These psychopaths already have an
ideal track record as far as ‘good ideas’ are concerned,” Rabinovich says. “The
world has simply underrated all the bestial danger of the situation. The world
is dealing with a dictatorial terrorist mafia regime which has nuclear weapons.”
Seventeen years ago, Yeltsin and his
“’family’ voluntarily transferred these nuclear weapons to these bandits, and
now Putin and the criminals around him may very well be prepared to “use
nuclear weapons with one goal” to hold on to power regardless of what they have
to do. Given what they’ve already done, “do
you still have doubts?” Rabinovich asks.
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