Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 7 – Pavel Felgengauer,
an independent Moscow security analyst, says that Vladimir Putin’s remarks
about the possibility that Russia and the US may not extend arms control
agreements are all about raising the stakes and bluffing in the hopes that
Washington will offer Moscow more than it has to get its way.
In this, the analyst says, Putin is
acting very much as US President Donald Trump often does, thus creating a situation
in which the leaders of the two nuclear powers are each using the same tactics,
something that could lead to an
escalation of problems because each will take a position he would find it
difficult to retreat (rosbalt.ru/world/2019/06/07/1785760.html).
Moreover, this approach by the two
may mean that ever more issues will be wrapped together as part of any agreement,
making it more difficult to achieve, requiring the personal intervention of the
top figures on the two sides, and possibly having consequences for many issues
far from the central one.
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