Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 3 – The dismissal of charges
against one Ingush opposition leader and the reduction of the length of detention
of another reflects the new political winds blowing in that North Caucasus
republic since the exit of Yunus-Bek Yevkurov, leaders of prominent Ingush
families say (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337420/,
kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337415/, kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337416/ and fortanga.org/2019/07/v-sude-sokratili-arest-barahoeva-i-opravdali-uzhahova-po-odnomu-iz-del/).
At the same time, many in Ingushetia
are upset that the Memorial human rights organization identified only five of
the more than three dozen Ingush now in detention as political prisoners. The
Ingush believe all of them are, and Memorial has responded that it continues to
study their cases (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337394/).
Moreover, many Ingush appear
encouraged by still unconfirmed reports that Yevkurov’s replacement,
Makhmud-Ali Kalimatov, has replace seven of the nine advisors the former had
put in place. While details are sketchy, this news if true suggests that
Kalimatov does plan to make major personnel changes despite his earlier
statements (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337435/).
Meanwhile, in a commentary for the
Moscow Carnegie Center, Konstantin Kazenin says Kalimatov’s appointment suggests,
first, that the Kremlin is retreating from its earlier approach in the North
Caucasus and will be less likely to impose outsiders like Vladimir Vasiliyev in
Daghestan, a shift that local people will like (carnegie.ru/commentary/79409).
Second, the Moscow analyst
continues, Kalimatov’s appointment puts in place someone with close ties to the
siloviki who oppose any further expansion in Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov’s
influence beyond the borders of Chechnya. Consequently, he can be counted on to
resist the Chechen leader’s efforts to lord it over Ingushetia.
And third, while Kalimatov is an
Ingush, he was not in the republic during the protests of the last year and
thus is not linked to either side. As a result, Kazenin suggests, he may be in
a better position to mediate between the existing regime and the opposition
than many had expected any Moscow-selected republic head to be.
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