Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 9 – The just
published Belarusian demographic yearbook shows that for the first time, immigrants
from Turkmenistan (4001) outnumbered those from Ukraine (3404) in 2018, albeit both were and are far behind
the number entering from Russia (7040) (thinktanks.by/publication/2019/09/09/migratsiya-v-belarus-turkmeny-vpervye-obognali-ukraintsev.html).
Many of the Turkmens are students in
Belarusian universities. According to the yearbook, there are now 7700 Turkmens
in Belarusian higher educational institutions, perhaps reflecting Ashgabat’s
desire that if they study abroad, they study in a country almost as authoritarian
as their homeland.
But the number of Turkmens now in
Belarus and the annual increase in their ranks may create a problem for Belarus
which except for its indigenous Lithuanian Muslims, a relatively small and
rural population, Belarus has not had a significant Muslim minority; but now it
is gaining one.
Also worthy of note is the declining
number of Ukrainians, which rose to an all-time high of 10,500 in 2015 in the
wake of Russia’s invasion but even in the absence of such a stimulus Ukrainians
have ranked second as immigrants to Belarus in the past. That now has changed, possibly
in response to the contrast between Ukrainian and Belarusian political life.
The other leading sources of
immigration are China (1695), Kazakhstan (877), Iran (571), the US (504), Azerbaijan
(433), Georgia (360) and Tajikistan (360).
As far as the outmigration of Belarusians
is concerned, Russia was at the top of the list last year with 6732, Ukraine
second with 1411, Turkmenistan with 1118, Poland with 765, Israel with 761,
Germany with 702, the US with 432, China with 344, Lithuania with 338, and Iran
with 211.
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