Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 3 – A remark often
attributed to Talleyrand but in fact having as its author Antoine de la
Meurthe, the author of the Code Napoleon, national leaders sometimes act in
ways that are “worse than a crime” because they are “a mistake.” That
observation applies with special force to Putin’s decision to go ahead with a
vote on the constitution, Vladimir Pastukhov says.
Putin invoked the idea of a
constitutional referendum in order to cover the crime he was involved with, one
that was undermining the provisions of the existing basic law, the London-based
Russian analyst says. But now he has compounded that with a mistake by going
ahead with the plebiscite even though the pandemic provided him with a perfect
excuse not to.
The Kremlin leader could have used
the coronavirus to delay the vote or even better to cancel it altogether, but instead,
he has pressed ahead and will be holding it during the pandemic and thus raising
more questions not only about the contents of the changes but about Putin’s
judgment (mbk-news.appspot.com/sences/konstitucionnyj-eksgibicionizm/).
Putin’s plans for a referendum were
developed under one set of circumstances and had the obvious goal of “masking
the constitutional overturn” he is carrying out and giving it “the appearance
of something solid and legitimate,” Pastukhov continues. That may have made
sense even though it was a crime, but the situation has changed and Putin is
making a mistake.
“The attitude of the masses has
changed,” the analyst says, and people are now angry rather than simply willing
to rubber stamp Putin’s plans. “Not to consider this circumstance means to show
impermissible political near-sightedness” and to engage instead in “constitutional
exhibitionism.”
With people still fearful of the
coronavirus and distance voting being put in place, this referendum will not
give Putin “any additional legitimacy” even if he wins. Rather, the whole thing
will “on the contrary ever more delegitimize” the process and its author. Putin would have seen that earlier in his career,
but now he apparently lacks the ability to do so.
He may get away with this at one
level, but he has inflicted harm on himself and his system at another. And that
harm may be far greater than he or his supporters now suspect even if with falsification,
he claims victory after July 1.
One measure of this self-inflicted
loss is the protest of nearly 200 local and regional deputies against the
constitutional changes. What makes this especially
important is that they are actually elected by the Russian people rather than
appointed by Putin. And so they are speaking for far more than themselves (graniru.org/Politics/Russia/Election/m.279161.html).
And their words are ringing: “Putin
hopes,” they write, “that society will support his aspirations for power. He
wants to receive approval for his shameful desires with the help of an
obviously unconstitutional procedure that is absolutely uncontrolled by civil
society … [But] we categorially do not support Vladimir Putin’s amendments.”
“The destroy the Russian state and
create a threat to its very existence in the near future. These changes are
incompatible with freedom and democracy, and with the dignity and rights of
man. We call on all citizens of Russia to show by their voting their
disagreement with this usurpation of power.”
“On us, free and responsible
citizens, the future of Russia now depends. We are not afraid … We do not
intend to hand over our future and the future of our children to temporary
figures who want to hold on for decades. We feel the support of the majority of
citizens of Russia.” And we are convinced that “Russia will be free.”
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