Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 3 – Kyiv’s
failure to take into consideration the opinions of part of the residents of the
Donbas is Moscow’s fault because the Russian government has “done everything in
order to discredit real and civilized protest by putting in its place banditry
and armed aggression,” according to Russian commentator Kseniya Kirillova.
In a blog post today, she points out
that Russia “constantly subordinates the interests of the region to its own
interests” and thus creates a situation like the story of the little boy who
cried wolf: even when he spoke the truth, no one was prepared to listen to him
or come to his aid (nr2.com.ua/blogs/Ksenija_Kirillova/Kto-dal-moralnoe-pravo-agressoru-pouchat-Kiev-79123.html).
Instead,
because of Moscow’s intervention, Ukrainians are “already inclined to view”
ethnic Russians or Russian speakers “as agents of Russian influence or in the best
case as victims of television propaganda.”
Indeed, Kirillova suggests, “for discrediting popular dissatisfaction it
would have been impossible to do more” than Moscow has.
And
consequently, “the best that Russia could do if the interests of the residents
of the region were really important to it would be to pull out all the elements”
it has inserted and allow the residents themselves to speak out. Obviously, it will be more difficult for
Ukrainians to view their complaints as legitimate than it was for them to do so
earlier.
Equally
obviously, Moscow is not about to do that because it doesn’t care about the
interests of its own citizens let alone Russian speakers and ethnic Russians
who are citizens of other countries as it has repeatedly shown in the past, the
Russian blogger says on the basis of her own experience as a resident of the
Urals in the 1990s.
Russia
at that time, she says, was “full of social contradictions in comparison with
which the consequences of the Maidan [in Ukraine] are child’s play.” At that
time, Russians weren’t paid and there was real hunger in some parts of the
country.
“In
that region where [Kirillova] lived all her life,” she says, “the most genuine
separatist tendencies did arise. More precisely, one should not call them
separatist in the full sense of the word: the oblast only demanded more rights
and authority and could not even think about an armed uprising or the bringing
in of foreign militants.”
That
“project” was called the Urals Republic, she writes. But “even the weak Yeltsin
government did not allow it to exist.” Instead, it moved to pull it out by the
roots.” Kirillova says she is “grateful
to the entire rest of the world” that it did not occur to anyone to “send into
our streets armed militants who had decided ‘to support the Urals Republic’” by
any means.
She
says she is glad that did not happen because she “knows full well that [her]
native and beloved city would have been transformed into the ruins of Grozny
faster than [she] could have finished primary school.”
But
there is a risk that something like that could happen in the future, Kirillova
says. Weakened by sanctions and by its war in Ukraine, Russia itself may be
torn by divisions and now, thanks to the “indulgent” approach to banditry in
Ukraine, could face the kind of violence on behalf of regional interests it did
not face in the 1990s.
Given
the Kremlin’s proclivity to ignore real problems and to use force against those
who attempt to raise them within the political system, it is entirely possible
that there may be more destroyed cities like Grozny within Russia at least in
part because of what Vladimir Putin has chosen to do in Ukraine.
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