Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 7 – German Chancellor
Angela Merkel has observed that Vladimir Putin lives in “a different reality”
than do Western leaders, Andrey Piontkovsky notes, but these Western leaders
have not yet acted in a way that reflects that understanding but rather on the
false assumption that Putin sees the world and calculates about it in the same
way they do.
When Merkel made her remark, she was
suggesting that it was Putin who was out of step with reality, but recent
statements by Western leaders suggest that it is they, not he, who are failing
to recognize the nature of the new reality that Putin has been allowed to
create by his aggression, the Russian commentator says (echo.msk.ru/blog/piontkovsky_a/1394642-echo/).
As an example of this
failure to recognize reality, Piontkovsky cites the words of US President
Barack Obama who said that “the only reason that we’re seeing this cease-fire
at this moment is because of both the sanctions that have already been applied and
the threat of further sanctions.”
These sanction, the US
leader said, “are having a real impact on the Russian economy and have isolated
Russia in a way that we have not seen in a very long time,” a statement that
assumes Putin cares about that as would the leaders of Western countries who
would not have acted as the Kremlin leader has.
“Imagine,” Piontkovsky
continues, “in what reality this remarkable individual is living. He is
sincerely convinces that exclusively thanks to sanctions … Putin has recognized
his serious geopolitical mistakes, disarmed himself before the Big Seven, and
signed a ceasefire agreement in Minsk.”
Clearly, Obama and Putin
are living in “different realities,” just as Chancellor Merkel said. In Putin’s
reality, he has introduced more forces into Ukraine and defeated the Ukrainian
military, forced Kyiv to sign an accord that legitimates his Anschluss of
Crimea and sets the stage for “an enormous ‘Transdniestria’ in the body of
Ukraine,” and put himself in a position to seize Mariupol “at any moment” and
thus “open a corridor for the Russian army to Crimea.”
That hardly looks like the “reality”
Obama described and apparently lives in, Piontkovsky suggests, and instead
looks like the reality Putin has been living in for some time: take from those
who are weaker or who can be intimidated into going along and stop doing that only
when confronted by a stronger power.
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