Paul Goble
Staunton,
July 30 – “The Russian special services have controlled” the flow of Islamist
radicals from Russia to Syria “from the very beginning,” according to Elena
Milashina of “Novaya gazeta.” They haven’t interfered and sometimes have
assisted it, seeing “a threat to state security only in those who try to return
from this war.”
In
a 4500-word article in yesterday’s edition, Milashina reports on her extensive
research into this problem, highlighting that in the North Caucasus, many are
glad to see the radicals go to Syria on the basis of the principle that it is
better they should be fighting there than inside the borders of the Russian
Federation (novayagazeta.ru/inquests/69364.html).
“Since
2011,” she writes, “hundreds if not thousands of [Russian] citizens, men and
women, Muslims from birth and converts to Islam, educated and not very, specialists
and laborers, the well-off and the poor, militants of the Caucasus underground
the siloviki fighting them, and whole families with children have been going to
a country where a destructive civil war is going on between the government and
the opposition, between the Alawites and radical Sunni groups.”
ISIS,
Milashina points out, is only one of the groups in the Syrian war; others are
allied with it, and still a third group is opposed. And she notes that Moscow
declared ISIS a terrorist organization only in Decembeer 2014 and has not yet
given that status to others, thus complicating the situation.
To explore this flow of people and the involvement of
Russia’s special servies in it, the Moscow journalist went to the village of
Novosasitli in Daghestan’s Khasavyurt district.
Since 2011, 22 of its 2500 residents have gone to fight in Syria. Five
have died and five have returned home.
That
figure is almost one percent of the population, and far larger than the share
of the population in Yekaterinburg who have “volunteered” to fight in the
Donbas. From that Urals city, about 500 people have gone to Ukraine out of a
population of 1.5 million – or about one in every 3,000.
The
most frequently cited reason people give for others going to Syria is the
hadith which says a Muslim must take part in a holy war, properly declared, if
he or she hopes to go to paradise. But many go for money, as a result of
personal problems, or because they have been fighting for years and want to
continue to fight regardless of where.
The
FSB is only too happy to see those who have been fighting Russian forces in the
Caucasus leave the country and fight in Syria. Indeed, Milashina says, its
officers have played a role in opening “a green corridor” to allow such
militants to leave; and the authorities
clearly see the departure of such people as a key to the pacification of the
North Caucasus.
“Over
the course of the years of the ‘Syrian’ war, the activity of the Caucasus
underground has fallen by a factor of two. Everyone confirms this: the
siloviki, experts, rightrs activists, and residents of the region,” the
journalist writes. Consequently it is likely that “from the point of view of
our special services, this is a real achievement.”
The
Russian authorities have not been able to resolve any of the reasons why people
in the North Caucasus go into the underground, and people continue to do so.
But with the war in Syria, such individuals have an alternative destination and
enemy: Syria and the opponents of Islamist groups there.
However,
this trend has consequences which the authorities didn’t expect or want. “The
uncontrolled ‘Syrian’ virus has spread widely through the country” and affects
people “far from our Caucasus. We have an epidemic, the victiims of which are
those like young Varya Karaulova,” the Moscow State University student who
tried to go to fight for ISIS.
“From
the point of view of the special services,” however, such people “are not
victims,” Milashina says; “they are a threat.” And that highlights a problem
for the future: the special services are not worried about people leaving to
fight in Syria, but they are very worried about those who come back and who
will again fight Russia.
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