Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 26 – Many assume that
Tatarstan gets more assistance from Moscow than neighboring Russian regions do
because Kazan can play the ethnic card, arguing that unless it gets more money,
Moscow and Kazan will face an ethnic challenge.
That is indeed part of the explanation, but it is far from the complete
one, according to a new analysis.
In a 2000-word article on URA.ru,
Yury Alayev, a columnist for the journal “Tatarstan,” a member of the republic’s
Social Chamber, and an advisor to the rector of Kazan State University, argues
that more than others, “Tatars have always been able to speak with the Kremlin”
and thus have had more success (ura.ru/articles/1036265420).
The reasons for that lie with the
way in which Tatarstan made the transition from a Soviet autonomy to a republic
within the Russian Federation, the way in which Kazan has chosen to negotiate
with Moscow, and Kazan’s ability to extract money because of its willingness to
spend it on big projects of the kinds Moscow in the era of Vladimir Putin
especially likes, Alayev says.
The people who came to power in
Tatarstan after 1991, he points out, in their overwhelming majority were those
who had risen through the Komsomol and CPSU and had no intention of giving up
power even “when the compass pointer turned 180 degrees. They simply turned
their back on the past in order to go forward.”
During the period of the parade of
sovereignties of the early 1990s, Tatarstan President Mintimir Shaymiyev
asserted sovereignty but didn’t change the social policies of the republic, did
not engage in radical privatization or dividing up collective farms, but
instead “continued the realization of the programs of gasification adopted
already by the CPSU obkom.”
That gave him enormous support at
home and flexibility in dealing with Moscow. But there was one new aspect to
his approach: the republic ceased taking money from the federal budget by
declaring that “all-union property” was from now on “republic” property, “within
the framework of the proclaimed state sovereignty of the Republic of Tatarstan.”
That too gave Kazan enormous power,
especially as it could say that without this, it and Moscow would face radical
Tatar nationalism, Alayev continues. That was something Moscow was not prepared
to deal with especially given the fighting in Chechnya, and it agreed with
Kazan on a power-sharing arrangement.
But it was clear already under
Yeltsin that Moscow wasn’t going to be satisfied with this arrangement and
would gradually undermine. Thus, Kazan was put in the position of having to
play defense. But in 1994, it got
unexpected help from an unanticipated place: Tatar scholars discovered that Kazan
was a millennium old.
That led Shaymiyev to propose the
first of many celebrations and competitions in the city, the kind of activity
that Moscow not only under Yeltsin but even more under Vladimir Putin very much
liked, perhaps because of their corruption possibilities, and Shaymiyev also
strengthened his hand by insisting on dealing with such questions one-on-one
with the Russian leader, again playing to their own natures.
Putin, Alayev adds, was especially
pleased to work with Kazan in order to “show to the world that a Muslim
republic which not long ago had been pursuing a separatist court could flourish
while being part of Russia and now some separated quasi-state formation” as was
the case with Chechnya.
Those factors likely have been
determinative, the journalist says, but it is also the case that Tatarstan far
more than other regions and republics has conducted regular briefings for its
officials in Moscow and made sure that its own officials are aware of every
possible Russian Federation program that Kazan might benefit from.
The mutual backscratching of Moscow
and Kazan works to the benefit of both, but there is one big problem with it,
Alayev says. It is like “a bicycle” and “in
order that it not fall over, the riders have to pedal harder and harder.” It isn’t clear when one or the other will
stop, either because of a lack of resources or a lack of will.
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