Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 23 – Having launched
a “hybrid” war giving it plausible deniability for many, Russia now has a “hybrid”
army, a development that Moscow may not understand the full implications of and
one that should give everyone pause, according to Russian commentator Arkady
Babchenko. (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=55AFB6162F549).
Babchenko notes that Moscow has
insisted that between two-thirds and three-quarters of those fighting on the
Russian side in Ukraine are local people, with the rest being Russian volunteers.
Consequently, the Ukrainian conflict is “a civil war,” with “a certain people
of the Donbas resisting colonization” by Kyiv (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=55AFB6162F549).
All
right, the analyst says, “let’s consider one aspect of this assertion, leaving
aside all the rest,” including the fact that Russia has a troop concentration
on the Ukrainian border comparable in size to the entire Ukrainian military,
that units of that force have gone into Ukraine on occasion, and that they have
fired from Russian territory unto Ukrainian land.
And
“let’s leave in peace even Crimea,” about which there are really “no more
questions” because what is involved there is “annexation and occupation of the
purest kind.”
Instead,
Babchenko says, “let’s consider a single argument: the existence of a certain
mythical ‘people of the Donbas.’” Let’s
even allow that “such an ethno-cultural group exists. Let’s not carp: there is
a people of the Moscow region, there is a people of Northern Butovo; there is a
people of Kuusinen Street, and so there is a people of the Donbas.”
In
that event and if we define “a people by its place of residence,” then there is
no other possible conclusion except that “this is not a Ukrainian civil war.” Instead, “it is a Buryat-Ukrainian war, and
also a Chechen-Ukrainian one, and also an Osetin-Ukrainian conflict; and yet
again a Ekaterinburg-Ukrainian war.”
(Those
who say that “the people of Ekaterinburg” are too few to count forget that the
number of people fighting on Moscow’s side in the Donbas is much smaller than
their total, he points out.)
But
if one comes to the obvious conclusion that the definition of the sides in the
war according to “a mythical people or more precisely the place of the
recruiting of the combatants is not possible, then one is driven to the very
simple conclusion: “Russian began this war. Russia occupied part of the
territory of a neighboring country.”
Moreover,
Babchenko continues, “Russia sent in diversionary groups and changed the governments,
Russian formed the new institutions of power. Russia supplied arms.” Russia even
provided uniforms and badges. Indeed, he writes, “having adopted the strategy
of hybrid wars as its main principle, Russia itself has in effect transformed
its own army into a hybrid one as well.
“The
Donets militia is thus part of the hybrid Russian army which is distinguished
from all the other parts of [Russia’s] hybrid army only by the fact that it is
recruited on the territory of the Donbas,” something which has “exactly the same
significance as if it were recruited in Buryatia or Kamyshlov or South Osetia.”
That
is, precisely, “nothing” because the militants recruited on the territory of
Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts are “UNITS OF THE RUSSIAN ARMY.” And consequently,
just as the recruiting of Russian soldiers in Buryatia doesn’t make this war a
Buryat-Ukrainian one, so too, recruiting them in the Donbas doesn’t make it a
Ukrainian civil war.
Consequently,
Babchenko concludes, what is taking place, even if some won’t admit it, is
nothing other than “a Russian-Ukrainian war.”
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