Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 9 – Despite a
massive increase in defense spending, the Russian military isn’t paying its
bills to regional suppliers of heat, water and electricity, a pattern that
creates yet another source of tension between Moscow and the regions and
between the military and the people and that raises questions about Moscow’s
ability to fight a long war.
The situation
appears to be especially serious in Murmansk, where, according to deputy
governor Yevgeny Nikora, the Russian military now owes some 1.1 billion rubles
(18 million US dollars) to regional suppliers of water, gas and heat (gov-murman.ru/info/news/179167/
and thebarentsobserver.com/security/2016/08/military-companies-bankrupt-murmansk-left-debts).
Nikora indicated
that the Russian defense ministry had “systematically failed to pay” for these
services and that its failure had driven several local firms into bankruptcy,
with the result that service has been cut off to the civilian population as
well. Such cutbacks are already serious but they will become more critical when
cold weather returns to that northern Russian city.
Because Murmansk
is near the Finnish border and because The New Barents Observer’s journalists
have been extremely active, more is known about this cavalier attitude on the part
of the Russian military there than elsewhere. Nonetheless, there have been
sporadic reports of similar problems across the Russian Federation at least outside
of Moscow.
There are real
human costs involved in such actions, but there may be a more immediate
political “cost” as well. This pattern
gives regional leaders yet another reason to oppose Vladimir Putin’s military
adventurism and could under certain circumstances become the basis for the
formation of opposition to it behind the scenes.
If that happens,
and any time a policy begins to be discussed in terms not of its goals but in
terms of its costs and especially its costs on specific parts of the
population, that often is the beginning of the end of unqualified support for
it. And thus, the Russian military’s failure to pay its bills is yet another
way in which Putin’s war in Ukraine is coming home to Russia.
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