If a major war happens and the signs point to the conclusion that both “the Army of Ukraine and the [Moscow-organized] self-proclaimed republics are ready for it, tens of thousands of people will be killed.” It lists as the most important signs the following developments of recent days:
· “The attack on the head of the self-proclaimed LNR”
· “The growing intensity of the exchange of fire”
· “The rhetoric of ‘hurrah patriots’ in Russia and Ukraine, who are calling for ‘a decisive attack and victory”
· “The crisis in diplomatic relations between Russia and Ukraine”
· Efforts on both sides to draw the other into an attack.
· “The rapid decline in the popularity of both the leadership of the DNR and LNR and of Kyiv rulers,” something both are trying to “compensate” for by militant rhetoric.
· “The widespread sense of an impending catastrophe – a full-scale war in the middle of Europe.”
In such a war, neither side will win; but one thing is sure, “Novaya gazeta” says. Such a conflict will not end with a truce.” Instead, it will be “a geopolitical catastrophe,” first of all, for Ukraine, but then for Russia and many others as well.