Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 2 – Many have
focused on the problems of integrating people from the Caucasus into Russian
life, Emil Pain says; but they should be focusing on the more significant
problem of competition between ethnic Russians who remain internally divided
and non-Russians who in order to survive have become far more united and capable
of success.
In a speech to a conference in
Daghestan, head of the Moscow Center for Ethno-Political and Regional Research,
says that “the ethnic majority [in Russia] is internally divided,” and ties
among its various components are “weakening” at a time when the relative size
of the Russians to the non-Russians is changing (kavpolit.com/articles/oni_musulmane_no_pochti_svoi-27330/).
Moreover,
as more non-Russians and especially people from the North Caucasus move into
traditionally Russian areas, they “strengthen their internal ties and thus have
indisputable competitive advantages as can be seen by considering who has the
greater success in forming businesses in the country and so on.”
“As
long as the Russian ethnic majority is not horizontally integrated,” that is,
integrated by itself rather than by the state, “no one will unite it,” Pain
says, adding that he “does not want to justify nationalism, but [he]
understands its sources and today, the central problem of nationality policy is
the Russian problem.”
Many
think that Russian nationalism is receding now given that its high point as
measured by the polls was in 2013-2014 when two out of three Russians said they
supported the slogan, “Russia for the Russians.” But there is every reason to
believe that it will reemerge and intensify given the underlying social
conditions, the ethnic expert says.
Today,
he says, “Russian nationalism is growing against the background of a decline in
the number of ethnic Russian citizens, a reduction in the fraction of young
people among the Russian population.”
Consequently, once a little time passes, “Russian nationalism, which has
created not a few problems in many cities, will grow again.”
Pain
says that Russia must “form a civic self-consciousness” that will include
within itself ethnic and other identities, but that will take a long time, he
suggests, given that much of the population remains “passive” and that the
state still acts as if its powers reside in itself rather than in the
population.
“The
dynamic of civic consciousness in Russia now rises and now falls,” the scholar
says. “According to the Levada Center,” Pain continues, “the share of
respondents who consider that the people must force the state to serve its
interests has fallen by a factor of three over the past 25 years.” Now, “only
nine percent” think that should be the case.
Until
such a civic consciousness does emerge, he argues, the country needs to adopt “new
approaches in its strategy of state nationality policy,” approaches that are
directed at resolving conflicts not only between the center and periphery as
was the case earlier but also among ethnic communities residing in the same
city or region.
At
the same time, Pain stressed that “the development of the consciousness of
people as part of the country only on the basis of their place of residence is
an incorrect approach to nationality policy … People must have the opportunity
to take part in the life of the country so that they will feel themselves to be
citizens of their own state.”
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