Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 8 – Even Moscow
experts like Igor Barinov, the head of the Federal Agency for Nationality
Affairs, have warned that anti-corruption efforts in Daghestan can lead to an intensification
of ethnic conflicts there as those under attack attempt to defend themselves
against charges by playing “the ethnic card” (ria.ru/interview/20180404/1517884508.html).
But Moscow’s installation of officials
from elsewhere and its moves against key economic elites in that North Caucasus
republic are not just triggering ethnic complaints but leading to the
appearance and spread of something far more dangerous – “anti-colonial
discourse.”
In an article for the Kavkazr
portal, Valery Dzutsati points to this development, one that could have the
effect of uniting the various nationalities of Daghestan against what they increasingly
see as the colonial policies of Moscow and its representative, Vladimir
Vasiliyev, in Makachkala (kavkazr.com/a/mestnye-kadry-ne-reshayut-nichego/29148095.html).
The intensification of ethnic
tensions in Daghestan has “already begun,” Russian economist Denis Sokolov told
Dzutsati. Tensions have always existed because of competition for resources,
but now there is a new element: many in Daghestan cast the current fight as
being between Daghestanis as a whole and colonial rule by Moscow.
That limits Moscow’s ability to play
the divide-and-rule politics it has used in the past to control the situation
and could lead to an explosion, Indeed, Ekho Moskvy Eduard Urazayev says that at
present as often in the past some “insignificant and accidental” event could
trigger a disaster.
He says that he fears that Moscow will
focus on the consequences of its cadres policy in that North Caucasus republic only
after that happens and not before when the center might have a far easier and
cheaper way of keeping order.
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