Paul Goble
Staunton,
January 5 – If Russia’s regionalists are to succeed not only in achieving
something better for their own populations but in becoming an attractive
alternative to Putin – the only hope of ending his reign before his death – they
must stop playing the nation-state game of seeking preferences from the center
or independence, Daniil Kotsyubinsky says.
The
regionalist theorist argues that they must stop doing that and instead come up
with their own doctrine of “regional sovereignty,” one that defines regions in
their own terms, leads to cooperation among regions, and thus presents an
alternative to a hyper-centralized and autocratic state, the regionalist
theorist says (afterempire.info/2019/01/05/rus-regionalisty/).
In
his After Empire commentary today,
Kotsyubinsky develops an idea he presented last summer in an essay entitled
“Regional Sovereignty – an Elixir for Peaceful Life in the 21st
Century” (in Russian, at (rosbalt.ru/blogs/2018/07/09/1716058.html) by focusing on the ways such an
ideology, once developed, could help all of Russia overcome Putin.
Kotsyubinsky
begins his new essay by observing that many have misinterpreted what the “dislikes”
Putin’s speech received. It is true that ever more Russians dislike the Kremlin
leader, but that does not mean as some think that he has lost legitimacy in their
eyes or that the population will or even can overthrow him.
Putin’s power remains “firm” and “the
main reason for this” is that his power is “autocratic,” the analyst says. And according to Russian lights, that gives
him “legitimacy.” And Putin’s control over his entourage and his marginalization
of opponents thus mean he is likely to remain power “for life” unless someone or
some institution can emerge as a credible alternative.
“Autocratic
legitimacy,” however, “is invincible” only in the absence of such an
alternative. In the run-up to 1917, an alternative emerged: “a responsible
ministry” and the autocracy collapsed. That
might seem an attractive model, but “alas, today, the idea of ‘a democratic
Russia’ as a real alternative to Putin’s patriotic ‘sovereign vertical’ is
impossible.”
According
to Kotsyubinsky, “the alternative to Putin’s inviolability can be only that
force which from the outset does not rely on the slogan ‘a single country,’ ‘the
struggle with the threat of disintegration,’ and other demo-imperial chimeras.”
“There
is such an ideology,” he argues, and “it is not the much-ballyhooed nationalism
of small peoples for they by themselves do not have the power to destroy the
empire, as shown in practice more than once.”
Instead, “the only prospective anti-imperial (and more precisely
post-imperial) ideology is regionalism.”
That
consists of a set of ideas on the civil-political self-standing of all the
lands of which Russian consists, independent of their national, religious, or
other identities with the exception of civic-territorial ones.” Such an
ideology began to take shape under perestroika, Kotsyubinsky says, but it
proved largely stillborn.
There
are two reasons for this, he continues.
On the one hand, Russia’s regionalists focused on attacking the center
or extracting more resources from it rather than articulating a positive
program of action. They thus became isolated
harping sectarians rather than a political force based on their common interests.
And
on the other, regionalists and not only in Russia “lack a conception of
regional sovereignty.” As a result, they struggle to raise their status or to
achieve independence, giving the state the whip hand to block them on both
counts because they are playing by “nation-state rules.”
They
must stop doing so. Otherwise, Kotsyubinsky says, “the chances for Russian
regionalism to emergence as an alternative to great power patriotism will fall
to zero;” and that in turn will mean that a force that could gain traction as
an attractive alternative to Putin’s authoritarian hyper-centralism will never
emerge.
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