Staunton, Aug. 17 – Tyva hs a vastly higher murder rate than the rest of Russia, according to journalists at the To Be Precise portal; but it reaches that conclusion by excluding five federal subjects along Russia’s border with Ukraine where violence has spread and six republics in the North Caucasus which have long been violent and without good statistics.
These exclusions make the crowning of Tyva as the most dangerous place to live in the Russian Federation problematic, but it is clear that violence there is high and that this violence explains continuing, even accelerating ethnic Russian flight (tochno.st/materials/tyva-s-bolshim-otryvom-samoe-opasnoe-mesto-v-rossii-reyting-prestupnosti-v-regionakh-ot-esli-byt-tochnym).
In 2022, the portal reports, there were 20 murders for every 100,000 residents of Tyva, compared to the figure of four per 100,000 for Russia as a whole, and there were 186 cases of assault and infliction of bodily harm per 100,000 in that Far Eastern republic compared to 37 per 100,000 residents for the country as a whole.
Such violence, along with poverty and nationalism, has caused ethnic Russians to flee, leaving the population of the republic at more than 80 percent ethnic Tyvan and reflecting a Tyvan desire that eventually the Russians will be reduced to no more than five percent (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2021/03/russians-flee-tuva-as-law-decays.html and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/09/tuvins-dont-want-russians-to-form-more.html).
And that has led some analysts to conclude that Tyva is the least integrated part of the Russia and the most likely to be the first federal subject to secede from the Russian Federation (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2021/07/tyva-least-integrated-part-of-russia.html and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2023/06/tyva-will-be-first-republic-in-russia.html).
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