Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 30 – In what Israeli
analyst Avraham Shmulyevich says is part of Moscow’s effort to prepare the
Russian population for a new war in the North Caucasus (facebook.com/groups/418134964913502/permalink/2379889652071347/),
the Nezygar telegram channel says Islamist radicals have penetrated even
KBR interior ministry.
Moscow has been working overtime to
provoke Circassians in that region into violence so that it will have the kind
of justification that will allow it to move against them without much fear of
criticism from the West or from Russian opposition groups. (On this, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/06/moscows-efforts-to-provoke-circassians.html.)
The Nezygar telegram channel
comment (t.me/russica2/17666)
about Islamist penetration clearly suggests that Moscow wants to be in
the position to use force against the Circassians, although it is of course
possible that this report overstates Kremlin intentions, represents an effort
by some to push Moscow in that direction, or is intended only as an act of
intimidation.
“The Salafis in the Caucasus have
dragged under their influence ever more varied strata of the population. These
already include officials, judicial workers, procurators, officers of the
interior ministry, businessmen and others,” a suggestion that if true means
Islamist groups have a far larger network than most acknowledged and that
Russian powers is at greater risk.
“In the Kabardino-Balkar Republic,” the
telegram channel continues, “the Salafis are attracting new support from the Kabard
(Adygey-Circassian) population on account of the active use and rapid
replenishment of the real national themes but with the addition of religion and
a militant past.”
And the Salafi version of Islam with
such support quickly moves to create a duplication of state functions, leading people
not to pay taxes or obey laws. One sign
of this is the spread of Islamic stores which sell goods from the Arab world
and then use the money to promote structures which reduce the importance of
state ones.
Not only does this arrangement create
problems for the economy, Nezygar says; it represents “the quiet and
peaceful formation of an alternative state on the territory of the Russian
Federation, that is, separatism,” the greatest of all sins in the Putin codex
and the most unanswerable basis for the use of force to stop it.
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