Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 15 – If Donald
Trump is re-elected later this year, he, Putin and Xi will move quickly to put
in place “a new world order” by means of a new Yalta agreement that will
replace the failing Bretton Woods economic system, according to Mikhail Khazin,
head of the Neocon Consulting Company.
If Trump loses the election, of
course, the Russian economist says, this will not happen as soon because “a
civil war will begin in the United States,” making it impossible for Washington
to take part in such transforming economic and political negotiations (business-gazeta.ru/article/453319).
But Khazin clearly expects Trump to
be re-elected and the resulting tripartite talks to re-divide the world and draw
new “red lines” so that each of the three major players will know where and what
it can do and what it must avoid doing.
In this situation, Putin will move to create “a USSR 2.0” and something resembling
the Soviet bloc in eastern Europe.
According to the economist, Putin’s
recent talk about the mistake Lenin made in forming the USSR must be understood
as being the product of his own thinking about how to reconstruct a country
centered on Moscow without making concessions to nationalities at least in a
territorial way.
The same thing follows from Putin’s
discussion of the redrawing of borders in Eastern Europe by means of the Molotov-Ribbentrop
Pact. The Kremlin leader’s words are not about pre-World War II Europe but about
the continent after 2020 when new borders will have to be drawn both within the
former Soviet space and more generally.
And a third group of comments by
Putin, his talk of “purges” but not “repression,” is also instructive. It
suggests that he is getting ready to get rid of the liberal economic advisors
who have dominated Moscow since 1991. Only if they are removed can Russia
develop as a national economy in a post-Bretton Woods world, and only then can
a partial re-nationalization happen.
Putin’s goal now is not just to
remain in office, as many seem to think, Khazin says. Instead, he wants to
achieve “a new Yalta.” Once that
happens, everything will change; and he could easily win re-election as
president in a completely free election or decide to run things from a
different position.
Khazin concludes that in this
situation a new ideology, one combining imperial and socialist elements and
being “partially Orthodox socialist” and “partially Islamic socialist” will
come to dominate the new Moscow-centered state.
No comments:
Post a Comment