Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 25 – Kalmykia, a
small republic in the North Caucasus typically ignored except for its Buddhist
population and role in international chess, recently has attracted attention
for protests against Moscow’s imposition of a former DNR official as the mayor
of its capital (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/11/kalmyks-now-protesting-about-more-than.html).
But
now, its government is making another move that could have more dramatic
consequences than even these anti-Moscow and even anti-Russian demonstrations: Naran
Kyurkeyev, its deputy prime minister, says the republic will build a port at
Lagan on the Caspian Sea over the next decade (akcent.site/eksklyuziv/7025).
There has been talk about that
possibility before, especially given the continuing instability in Daghestan
and problems with the Russian port at Astrakhan caused by siltification of its
waterways. (See this author’s September 2019 article at jamestown.org/program/kalmykia-seeks-to-be-a-player-on-the-caspian-with-new-port/.)
Such
a project seemed implausible only a few months ago not only because it would give
a non-Russian republic a potentially crippling ability to block the flow of
ships between the Caspian and the Sea of Azov Moscow has used in its war
against Ukraine but also allow Kalmykia to assume a greater international role.
But
apparently, the problems in Daghestan and Astrakhan are now so dire or the
prospects that they will become so are so worrisome that Moscow has given the
go ahead by including the Lagan port in its Strategy for the Development of
Russian Sea Ports, and the republic is seeking investors for the 41.3 billion
ruble (600 million US dollar) project.
Officials
began talking seriously about a Lagan port in 1999 after then-Kazakhstan
President Nursultan Nazarbayev raised the possibility in the hopes of shortening
Kazakhstan’s trade route to Europe. And since then, Aksenty commentator
Anton Chablin, it has periodically surfaced in the media.
Batu
Khasikov, the embattled current head of Kalmykia, raised the issue again last
year at the Caspian Economic Summit; but most observers dismissed this as his
personal pipedream. Now, however, Kyurkeyev’s words suggest that it is
something more than that and that money possibly from Kazakhstan, another
Central Asian country or China may make it a reality.
Even
that prospect will be enough to spark new tensions between Kalmykia, on the one
hand, and Moscow and Astrakhan, on the other, given that the Russian government
has in the past backed Astrakhan governor Igor Babushkin’s efforts to be the
dominant Russian player on the increasingly important Caspian Sea.
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