Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 30 – The old
left-right continuum in Russian politics with its differences between
conservatives and reformers ceased to be relevant as the basis for analysis and
understanding with Putin’s Anschluss of Crimea and the formation of a populist
left-right alliance of support, according to Aleksandr Morozov.
In a commentary in “New Times,” he
argues that “with the annexation of Crimea and the beginning of the war in the
east of Ukraine, all the political space of the Russian Titanic together with
its tables, chairs and orchestra slid to one side” and came together in ways
few expected (newtimes.ru/articles/detail/93246).
“All the old political distinctions
lost any meaning before both former reformers and former conservatives and even
national Bolsheviks and national organizations like Barkashov’s and socialists
like Kagarlitsky found themselves in one multi-voiced crowd shouting ‘Send the
tanks to Kyiv! Fascism will not pass!’”
“The so-called ‘peace party’ in such
circumstances,” Morozov continues, “cannot possibly be qualified as liberals.
What kind of liberalism is in there in wartime?
In wartime it can be only ‘a fifth column’ and ‘traitors to the
motherland.’”
What has
formed instead is “a broad left-right populist consensus,” one that is quite
familiar to historians of interwar Europe and especially of Germany and Italy.
Leftwing political thought has always characterized fascism as “reactionary and
conservative,” but there is more to it than that as recent analysis has shown.
Today, many historians are more inclined to talk about the movements of
that time in terms of populism rather than in terms of a left-right continuum.
Indeed, it seems, Morozov says, that “each new stage of globalization and the
inclusion in communications of new masses generates a reaction in the form of
an epidemic spread of populism.”
However
that may be, he continues, “one must not say that this was or is an exclusivey
conservative reaction.” In the Russian case now, “the populist synthesis
includes within itself both former revolutionaries like Eduard Limonov and such
died in the wool state types like Ramzan Kadyrov.”
“The
fate of this ‘post-Crimean populist consensus,” Morozov says, “is still
unclear. It may break apart or it may form the basis of a new state system.” It
may lead to “Italian fascism or Hitlerism” or it may go off in another
direction altogether. “The next three
years,” he suggests, will provide the answer.
One of
the reasons for uncertainty is that past analogies are useful only up to a
point and “populism mutates” regularly. Putin’s
“’post-Crimea consensus’” is in the very early stages, and where it will lead
to could vary from judicial pressure on the Sakharov Center to the smashing of
its windows by mobs while the police look on.
Russia’s
current “post-Soviet ‘rightists’ always were not completely conservative
because they called not for the preservation” of a real past in the present but
rather for the construction of something “impossible, a kind of conservative
utopia” be it “Stalinism, Byzantium or the Russian 19th century.”
“All of them conceive the war in the
Donbas not simply as a war for territory but as a struggle for the construction
of a new society corresponding to their national socialist idea in a separate
gubernia.” As such they are truly “conservative
revolutionaries” who join together both left and right ideas.
“Now, this right-left consensus
works in the following way.” It draws on popular support from below and uses
television from above, and it is seeking to form “a new social fabric based on
anti-Americanism, the opposition of Putin to weak Western leaders, support for
Russian values against the degenerate West, state sovereignty, and the
militarization of public life.
As one can see, Morozov says, “the
right, like the left, has dissolved in this post-Crimea consensus.”
“The ‘televized Ukraine’ has been
transformed into a field of virtual war with the West and the United States for
millions while the Donbas is a real war for several thousand citizens with
Russian passports. No one knows what this new populism will become when it
matures.” But one thing is clear: “the degeneration of society is proceeding
very quickly.”
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