Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 21 – For many, the
face of poverty in Russia is to be found in the country’s dying countryside,
but a new survey finds that more than half of the population of its largest
cities is now poor and predicts that ever more urban Russians are becoming
poor, a development with potentially ominous political consequences.
Even in Moscow, 43 percent of the
residents are poor, with nine percent of them critically poor, according to a
study of 35 cities in the Russian Federation with more than 500,000 residents
carried out by sociologists at the Russian government’s Finance University (dp.ru/a/2015/01/19/Peterburg_zanjal_29-e_mest/ and
sobkorr.ru/news/54BD12C465D96.html).
Those figures compare with an
average of 54 poor for all the cities surveyed, with the situation in Toliatti,
Astrakhan, Penza, Volgograd and Saratov being somewhat worse and that in St.
Petersburg and Vladivostok somewhat better. The average for all such Russian
cities was 54 percent.
Last month, Vice Prime Minister Olga
Golodets said that there were 15.7 million poor people in Russia now, but she
conceded that given inflation and the economic crisis, that number is going up
especially as the purchasing power of Russian incomes falls. The actual number
is almost certainly higher, and it is increasingly urban rather than rural.
The study devoted particular
attention to the possibility that rising unemployment might trigger protests. “The
main moving force for social protests,” they said, consists of “poor and
unemployed youth.” Given that unemployment among the young is still relatively
low, it said, the situation is currently stable (newizv.ru/politics/2015-01-21/213443-porok-bednosti.html).
Yevgeny Gontmakher,
deputy director of IMEMO, says that he is certain that mayors can address these
problems successfully. But they are largely on their own because there is no
central government program for the poor in cities and the program for company
towns is not being implemented in an effective way.
Elena Afanasyeva, a
member of the Federation Council, says that she believes that oblast centers
have the resources to alieve poverty but that other cities do not. In the case
of the latter, regional officials must intervene and make every effort to “reduce
the level of poverty” in the cities of their regions.
Regional leaders have one resource
that they are not using, she continues. They can speak directly to the Russian
president, but they don’t about such problems because they “fear losing their
high posts.” As a result, Afanasyeva
says, Vladimir Putin does not know the full extent of the problem or has only a
distorted idea about it.
But she notes that there is even
more poverty in Russia’s smaller cities that are not company towns. They have been almost completely forgotten by
the government and as a result, “they are dying out and degrading” with those
who can leaving, their budgets falling, and poverty increasing. She called on
Moscow to begin focusing on these cities as well.
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