Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 1 – The Russian
government has in effect stopped fighting the spread of HIV/AIDS and as a
result, the number of HIV infected people in the Russian Federation is rising
by ten percent a year, according to Academician Vadim Pokrovsky, head of the Federal
Center for the Prevention and Struggle with AIDS.
In an interview published in today’s
“Novaya gazeta,” Pokrovsky says that there were more than 90,000 new cases last
year and that by the end of this one, he expects there will be one million people
in Russia registered as being HIV infected, a horrific development Moscow is
doing little now to counter (novayagazeta.ru/society/69039.html).
And the actual number, the medical
specialist says, is much higher, perhaps seven times higher. Moreover, Pokrovsky continues, last year
alone 190,000 Russians died from AIDS or AIDS-related diseases.
Just over half of those contracting
HIV now, he says, do so as a result of illegal drug use, but what is of
particular concern is the dramatic rise in the number of those who become ill
with this disease as a result of heterosexual contacts. That means that the disease is spreading into
groups that seldom had cases before.
In Russia today, Pokrovsky says, “about
20 percent of all drug users are infected” with HIV/AIDS. The average male drug
user typically has up to 20 sexual partners, while the average female one, who
often supports her habit via prostitution, may have “hundreds.” Consequently, Russians are being infected
indirectly by their sexual partners who have slept with drug abusers.
And unlike in earlier years, he
says, the virus is spreading via blood transfusions as well as “from mother to
child and from child to child in hospitals.”
According to Pokrovsky, Russians
today “are now at the edge of a generalized epidemic” like those which have hit
portions of sub-Saharan Africa. That term applies when more than one percent of
the population is infected – or, perhaps better, “when more than one percent of
pregnant women are infected.”
In Russia now, more than one percent
of pregnant women are infected with HIV in 15 regions. In Samara, for example,
the figure is about three times that.
Because most women become infected
via sexual contact while men still are more likely to be infected by the
sharing of needles, the greatest risks for the spread of the infection are
among younger age groups. Among Russians now, three percent of the men
between 30 and 35 are officially infected, with two percent in the 25-30 and
35-40 age cohorts.
Those are official figures,
Pokrovsky says. The real numbers are at least twice as high.
Increases in the number of HIV
infections is already pushing up mortality rates in Russia, the specialist
says. In 2013, about 20,000 people died
from the disease; last year the number was “about 25,000.” And Rosstat suggests that the growth of
deaths from this disease alone will grow by 20 percent annually in the coming
years.
Much more could be done to prevent the
spread of the disease, he says, including widespread use of condoms. But many
in the government, influenced by the Russian Orthodox Church, oppose their
use. And in the provinces, many doctors
put off diagnosis and treatment of those infected with HIV/AIDS hoping that
things will get better.
Treatment is becoming less
expensive, but it is not a panacea, Pokrovsky says; and he adds that there is
no cure on the horizon.
Many in Russia believe that
promoting traditional values will be sufficient to end the spread of AIDS. But
that is nonsense. On the one hand, many people will continue to do what they
can and want to do regardless of what they are told. And on the other, there
are officially one million sex workers in Russia, with their consumers
numbering five to ten times more.
Pokrovsky has been attacked by
Moscow city officials for the numbers he has released and called “a foreign
agent.” What those officials objected to
was his pointing out that the city government had artificially lowered the
actual number of HIV infections there by counting only those with a Moscow
residence permit – and ignoring all others actually there.
Russian public health services had
been making some progress against HIV/AIDS until 2011. Then, Pokrovsky says, “the
state distanced itself from this problem.” It disbanded the government
commission on HIV and indicated that the best way to fight the disease is by
moral exhortation rather than any other way.
The tragic results of that approach,
the expert says, have not been long in coming.
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