Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 9 – Russians who want
to rise through the political system now must support Vladimir Putin’s conservative
platform, but those in the broader population are not required to do so and don’t
because they participate in political life only as “passive spectators” who
ceremonially approve the elite but don’t want to take part in political
activity at any level.
Consequently, Stepan Goncharov
argues, it would be a mistake to read Putin’s high approval ratings as an
indication that the Russian population is deeply committed to his specific “conservative”
values as a guide for the country’s development (ng.ru/blogs/goncharov/osobyy-rossiyskiy-konservatizm.php).
Instead, as the Levada Center
sociologist notes, “the function of this passive observer consists [only] in the
ceremonial approval of the existing powers in elections,” adding that “it is
extremely indicative” of this situation that “only every fifth Russian” wants
to take an active role in even local politics or believes that elections can
solve the problems of the country.
Thus, “conservatism for ‘simple’
Russians appears as a set of rules” which the elite requires from them and
which provides an explanation as to “how we are distinguished from others by
appealing to historical circumstances.” The Kremlin promotes the idea of Russia’s
“special path” but this doesn’t have much content for the population.
Indeed, when sociologists ask
Russians in focus groups to define what this concept means, many of them
cannot, Goncharov says; but from their comments one can see that “morality must
be their own traditional one but the material level of the population just like
in Western countries.”
“Official conservative fulfills another role:
it gives a certain form to society and provides internal rules of its
existence.” Conservatism thus is viewed “as loyalty to the policy of the state,
as patriotism for show,” rather than as the basis for action. “The majority
considers it sufficient to simply love the Motherland, and only a third that
they must demonstrate it in actions.”
It thus turns out, the Levada Center
expert says, that “the ideas of ‘a special path’ and patriotic education elicit
approval at an emotional level but are not the subject of reflection by the
majority of Russians.”
“What then is the cause of the political
apathy and indifference to the state ideology?” he asks rhetorically. For such an ideology to involve the masses, the
experience of other countries and of Russia itself in the past, there needs to
be “a model of an ideal future.” But the
Kremlin is not providing that and does not welcome anyone else’s model.
As a result, “in the course of
conducting our research,” Goncharov continues, “we have encountered a deficit
of ideas about a better future, an extremely low level of expectations about
it, and at times, the absence entirely of a picture of the future.”
Given the traumas Russians have
undergone over the last 30-40 years, he says, “no one has the right to demand
enthusiasm” from the population. Any effort to talk about the real problems of
the country and the world “generate among Russians only ironic smiles: ‘in our
world,’” they says, “’geopolitics triumphs and not naïve arguments about
democracy.’”
The only countries which are well off in the opinion of
most Russians are those which control a sphere of influence around themselves
and resources at home. “In the world of this logic, the strong always defeat
the weak, and therefore the only means of remaining a powerful country is to
conduct a policy” based on enhancing the country’s power.
Moreover,
he continues, “the ability to challenge the US as the world’s hegemonic power
compensates for the psychological trauma formed as a result of the
disintegration of the USSR.” Not surprisingly, that vision of the world “inevitably
leads to the growth of anti-Western and in the first instance anti-American
attitudes.”
And
it means that for most Russians, “the best variant of the future is a return to
pre-perestroika Brezhnev times.” But the
consequence of that, “however paradoxical it may seem is that conservative
views about the future do not allow [Putin’s conservative] ideology to become a
mass phenomenon.”
That
is because most Russians do not want to have the kind of restrictions placed on
them concerning their personal lives that Russia’s conservative politicians
would like to see set in stone. And that
leads to the conclusion that “the conservative idea is viewed” by most Russians
not as something of their own but rather “as a plaything of the Russian elite.”
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