Paul Goble
Staunton,
October 30 – The delivery of headless rams to the offices of Novaya gazeta, an action
clearly linked to that newspaper’s expose of Yevgeny Prigozhin presents a serious
political challenge to Vladimir Putin because the Kremlin leader must choose
between loyalty to someone who has done what Putin wants and the dangers those
actions present for the system.
That
is the conclusion of Vladimir Pastukhov, a London-based Russian historian and
commentator, who argues that from a political point of view, the rams’ heads were
in fact thrown “not under the door of the editorial offices but at the gates of
the Kremlin” (echo.msk.ru/blog/pastuhov_v/2305439-echo/).
Again
and again, Prigozhin has allowed himself to do and speak “openly” what others
might like to do but feel constrained against, the historian continues. As a
result, he is no longer “an individual but ‘a meme’ which needs to be decoded.”
That isn’t as difficult as it might seem because it is clear that he is the
servant of “a cult of force” unrestrained by any rules.
“Prigozhin as an individual isn’t a
problem for society,” Pastukhov says; but “Prigozhin as a symbol, as a
stereotype, as ‘an identifier’ is a problem because the influence of this
symbol is much broader and more significant than the influence of a personality
on the basis of which this symbol arose.”
Intentionally
or not, he continues, “Prigozhin as a result of a number of circumstances has
become a brand of a particular time, the brand name for ‘no limits,” for the use
of power without any constraints. And as
such, he has become a model for others who act as franchisees of his kind of
activity.
That
might not have mattered a lot, the historian says, were it not for Prigozhin’s
closeness, rumored or not, to Putin. Because
it is widely believed, this means that “the Prigozhin problem has instantly
become Putin’s problem: tell me who you friend is and I will tell you who you
are…”
Because
Prigozhin belongs to the class of Russians who are legally “untouchable,” he can
act as he likes as long as he avoids coming out of the shadows and by his
actions challenging the Kremlin. But once he does “come out of ‘the shadows,’”
Pastukhov says, “he becomes dangerous since his shadow falls on Putin as well.”
Consequently,
what Prigozhin has done or what has been done in his name in the Novaya gazeta case represents what in politics is called “’a challenge’ but in
the criminal world, ‘a set up.’”
Putin
today hardly wants to be associated with such unbridled hooliganism, “even if
in the depth of his soul such a style is to his liking.” That is because if Prigozhin gets away with
this, others will follow – and that will create bigger problems for which Putin
deservedly will be blamed.
There is an ancient Sophist “riddle,”
Pastukhov says. “Can God create a stone which he cannot lift?” It he can’t, he isn’t all-powerful, but if he
can, he isn’t omnipotent.” Putin risks
finding himself in this situation as he wrestles with what to do in response to
what Prigozhin has done lest others read into his non-action something he can
ill afford.
Unfortunately
for the Kremlin leader, whatever he chooses to do with or to Prigozhin will
leave Putin in a worse place than he was before.
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