Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 30 – This morning
the Ingush Constitutional Court ruled that the border accord between Yunus-Bek
Yevkurov and Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov was “inconsistent with the republic’s
constitution” which explicitly requires that there be a referendum on any
border changes (bakdar.org/postanovlenie-19-p-po-delu-o-proverke-konstitucionnosti-zakona-respubliki-ingushetiya-ob-utverzhdenii-soglasheniya-ob-ustanovlenii-granicy-mezhdu-respublikoj-ingushetiya-i-chechenskoj-respublikoj-v-s/).
That represented a
stinging defeat for Yevkurov who had rammed through a law in the republic
assembly approving what he had done on his own, for Kadyrov who has insisted that
the accord is valid, closing off any future discussion, and for Moscow which
via its presidential plenipotentiary blessed the deal.
The World Congress of the Ingush
Nation, a meeting convened primarily to oppose the border agreement, celebrated
what they saw as an enormous victory for themselves as a result of two weeks of
public protests (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/327319/).
But their celebration appears to be premature.
Not only did
Yevkurov arrange for the congress to be monitored by his own and Russian
siloviki (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/327313/),
an action intended at a minimum to reaffirm his position and to intimidate his
opponents, but the republic head said he did not accept the decision of his own
republic’s court and would appeal to Moscow.
(Yevkurov appears to have tried
later yesterday to head off the court decision against him by having two of the
deputies of the republic’s assembly appeal to the court to allow them to
withdraw the suit and thus end any judicial review of the case, something that
the Constitutional Court rejected (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/327290/).)
The republic head said that despite
the court’s action which after all focused on the way in which the agreement
was to be ratified and not on the accord itself, the agreement remained valid.
And he added that the accord only had to agree with the Constitution of the
Russian Federation, not that of the republic (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/327331/).
Therefore,
Yevkurov continued, the only body that can legitimately rule on what should be
done is the Constitutional Court of the Russian Federation to which he clearly
plans to appeal. Until that court
renders its decision, the Ingush Republic head insisted, the accord he and
Kadyrov signed at the end of September will remain in place.
Yevkurov’s action almost certainly
destroys the last vestige of support he has in Ingushetia by so blithely
dismissing the republic basic law. It will lead to new and larger protests
against him and his government, forcing Moscow to decide whether to intervene
with force that could spark violence or remove Yevkurov which could lead to
even more demands.
As of this writing (1500 EDT),
Kadyrov and Moscow have not reacted; but by taking this action, Yevkurov may
have transformed the Ingush Congress into a kind of constituent assembly and
the protests that will now resume into a Maidan, developments that will echo
far beyond Ingushetia, even if up to now few in Moscow have been paying much
attention.
That trajectory is even more likely because
today, in addition to everything else that was going on, the Ingush held
memorial meetings about the large number of victims their nation suffered in a
border clash with North Ossetia in 1992 (capost.media/news/society/v-ingushetii-vspominayut-zhertv-osetino-ingushskogo-konflikta/).
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