Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 28 – For the first
time, Moscow has arranged to have installed in Ingushetia an official who does
not spring from the security services, something that gives hope that
Makhmud-Ali Kalimatov may represent a departure from the Kremlin’s view that
only those from the force structures can control the situation in the region,
Ruslan Magomedov says.
But the situation is not as simple
as it appears. On the one hand, Kalimatov is more connected with the security
services and force structures than many now think, the Daghestani commentator
says; and on the other, the issues he will be forced to address will involve
those structures whatever anyone now thinks (chernovik.net/content/politika/severnyy-kavkaz-ponimaet-tolko-silu).
“The appointment of Yunus-Bek Yevkurov in
distant 2008 as head of Ingushetia was completely within the framework of those
stereotypes which the Kremlin has been guided when dealing with the problems of
the North Caucasus,” Magomedov says. Moscow
has believed that republic heads must be from the siloviki and able to
establish order by the use of force.
Another important criterion for
Moscow is that any new head must not be part of the Caucasus clans and teips, structures
the center fears, but rather stand above and apart from them so that he can act
as arbiter. Ideally such people must be
a former FSB officer, but someone with a military background will do.
Yevkurov as a military intelligence
officer and a hero of Russia for his role at Prishtina fit this pattern and was
viewed from the outset as an ideal governor general, Magomedov continues. He also continued this pattern in Ingushetia,
both his predecessors, Murat Zyazikov and Ruslan Aushev were military men.
But what is striking is another
parallel, the Makhachkala commentator continues. Yevkurov like Zyazikov was
welcomed initially but failed because he got involved in the border question
and thus created a situation in his own republic that he could not control and
that forced his departure.
What is both instructive and
worrisome, Magomedov says, is that when Putin and Yevkurov spoke, there was “not
a word mentioned about what was the true cause of the departure of the head of
Ingushetia into retirement,” the issue of the borders of the republic with its
neighbors.
There were at least two siloviki
candidates to succeed him: Ruslan Sultygov, the deputy commander of the Volga District
Russian Guard and Anor Dzhambulatov, the deputy head of the FSB for
Chechnya. But instead, Moscow picked
Kalimatov who has never been directly involved in siloviki affairs but is
closely linked to them professionally and by family ties.
These include his brother and other
relatives and thus make him less different from Yevkurov than many now think,
Magomedov suggests. Consequently, he may
act more in the tradition of his predecessors than many in Ingushetia now
assume.
The Daghestani commentator says that
the change in Ingushetia has had one broader consequence that must be
recognized. It has probably saved Vladimir Vasilyev’s position in
Daghestan. It is obvious that Moscow
wants to replace him too but doesn’t want to do so when problems in another
republic are so obviously still at the boiling point.
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