Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 21 – Analyst after
analyst say that the 81 questions Russians posed to Vladimir Putin during his “Direct
Line” program and the responses of the Kremlin leader show the growing gap between
him and Russian society, a gap that many have pointed to in recent months but
that Putin by repeating this ritual has highlighted and perhaps made worse as a
result.
The After Empire portal
features three comments in this regard. Aleksandr Kynyev, an instructor at
Moscow’s Higher School of Economics, says that the authorities had no good
choices once they decided to go ahead. To take an upbeat position given all the
problems would make them look stupid; to admit them would only open the way to
more anger.
The Kremlin clearly decided that it
had to make a choice between “listening and doing nothing,” Kynyev continues,
and “making concessions.” It feared doing the latter and so it showed that it
recognizes how bad things are but is not prepared to do anything about them,
underscoring how out of touch they are (afterempire.info/2019/06/21/pryamaya-liniya/).
Abbas Gallyamov, a
Moscow political analyst, says that Putin showed that he clearly believes his personal
intervention on specifics is enough when in fact what the country needs is new
policies and new leadership.” “People understand that the need systemic steps
toward the change of the existing political model.”
And Ilya
Ponomaryev, a former Duma deputy and rights activist, put it bluntly: “The very
tone of the questions sounded on ‘the direct line’ shows the growing abyss
between Putin and society.” With each repetition of this ritual, Putin has
shown himself less willing to be open and honest and thus his rating and that
of his regime will continue to fall.
But such judgments
of experts about popular attitudes are likely to be less important for the
future of the Putin regime than the judgments, which are hardly going to be
trumped in public just yet, by members of his government who now can see even
better than they did 48 hours ago that the emperor now has no clothes and that
more than “one little boy” can see it.
As
isolated as the Putin elite is from the population – and large segments of it
may be even more separated from the population than he is – many still have
ties and thus are certain to be thinking about what they must do to save themselves
if indeed the system they have relied is on the way out.
What
happened at the end of Soviet times is suggestive in that regard. While it was certainly
true that the most senior members of the communist establishment had not set
foot on the streets of Moscow for many years – they were cosseted by the regime
and kept from having to face what others did – an ever larger fraction of them
recognized that things couldn’t continue.
Sometimes
that awareness came from their staffs, more often from their families, and
sometimes unintentionally from the news reports of Soviet television and of
Soviet leader speeches which in an effort to suggest things were getting ever
better showed that they were in fact bad and getting worse.
With his “open
line,” Putin has made yet another contribution toward that understanding and
that end
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