Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 20 – Like anything repeated
often enough with little but cosmetic change – and today’s “Direct Line” with Vladimir
Putin is the 17th such performance he has presented – this program
has become a ritual, lost its original value, and even become counterproductive
for the person who is its start and supposed beneficiary.
Many still say that such events
underscore the existence of a power vertical with Putin as its head; but in
contrast to earlier years when times were better and his rating was higher,
Russians are asking not for redress of personal problems but for a demonstration
that he can deal with larger ones (ng.ru/editorial/2019-06-19/2_7601_red.html).
As originally conceived, they say, Putin in
the course of the program could respond to requests and direct that the
problems they raise be addressed. “In other words,” as the editors of Nezavisimaya
gazeta put it, “through him the people realized its power over the
bureaucracy live on camera,” the embodiment of democracy of a kind.
That in fact is how things worked
until 2012 and even later. But the editors continue, “the situation partially
changed after Putin’s election to his current term in 2018 and, to be precise,
in the summer of last year” when he backed the raising of the pension age. “The
crisis of trust” that created sparked “a general social pessimism” about the
present and future.
In such a situation, “the customary
model of ‘Direct Line’ could not work” because the authorities have no plan on
how to improve the situation or what will happen n 2024. The Russian people can
see this and the program has the effect of making their negative conclusions
about the future even darker.
But there is an even more fundamental
reason why such performances don’t work and are counter-productive for
Putin. Initially, they played to the
historic Russian belief in a good tsar surrounded by bad boyars and the notion
that if the tsar could hear their complaints, he would act for the people.
Now, the Russian people can see that
isn’t true and isn’t going to be true. Not only is Putin not in a position to
solve all problems, but for ever more Russians, opposition politician Vladimir
Milonov says, Putin not only is not standing with them against the bad boyars
but increasingly is one of the boyars himself and thus opposed to them.
That shift means that the Kremlin’s
ability to play to the good tsar-bad boyar trope is coming to an end and that
opposition both to Putin and to the system he heads will continue to intensify.
That puts Putin is a difficult position: he has to rely on the boyars to stay
in power; but if he attacks them too forcefully, they’ll turn on him (idelreal.org/a/30007072.html).
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