Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 12 – Under conditions
of globalization, political and geographical borders “are losing their
importance,” a Buryat anthropologist says, and “strategic borders,” those
reflecting where a country has projected its economic and cultural influence,
are becoming ever more important.
With respect to China and Russia
east of the Urals, Sayana Namsarayeva says, China’s “strategic border” is
already well within the nominal political border between the two countries, something
that gives Beijing “effective control” of that region and could lead to a
change in the political borders to bring them into line with this new reality.
In an interview with the Russian
Service of RFE/RL, Namsarayeva, who is currently a research fellow at the
Mongolia and Inner Asia Studies Unit at Cambridge University, talks about her
research on the appearance of so-called “’frontier societies’” along the border
between the Russian Federation and China (svoboda.org/content/article/26525077.html).
Namsarayeva says she has been
studying relations between the Russian city of Zabaykalsk, which has 12,000
residents, and the Chinese city of Manchuria which has more than a million,
focusing on shuttle trade, personal investment decisions, and shifts in
economic activities since the 1990s.
She notes that increasingly Chinese
goods are coming into Siberia not via Manchuria but via Kyrgyzstan or “even via
Moscow and then back to Siberia.” That
reflects the declining role of the Trans-Siberian railway and the container
revolution which the Chinese have embraced to a much greater degree than the
Russians.
One of the consequences of the
shuttle trade along the political border, she says, is the rise in the ability
of people who do not speak the same language nonetheless to communicate and a
decline in the suspicions of local Russians about the Chinese regardless of how
Moscow views the situation.
One upshot of that is that “very
many local Transbaikal businessmen are investing their money in China and
purchasing property in Manchuria.” Another
is that Russians at the local level welcome increasing Chinese investment in
their regions, seeing it as a boon to their well-being and a way out from under
the restrictions Moscow still imposes.
China,
Namsarayeva continues, “is a most important trading partner of Russia.” But “paradoxically,”
the two countries view this trade along the border in very different ways. The Russian side “introduces enormous
restrictions on the development of entrepreneurships” while the Chinese welcome
it.
Not
long ago, she says, at a conference in Cambridge, two Korean professors “said
that Russia is already not a global power but the weakest regional player in
Northern Asia.” But everyone understands that “without the development of
Siberia and the Far East,” no one will take Russia seriously in the future.
That has provided an opening for China.
Russia’s
“far eastern neighbors and China in the first instance already cannot develop
their border territories without developing the Russian Far East and Siberia …we
see the semi-deserted and depressed territories on the Russian site, and the
enormous investments and accelerated development of border territories on the
Chinese.”
The
Russian authorities are only making this worse, she suggests. “Local residents in Zabaykalsk,” she
continues, “said that they cannot obtain lots for the construction of houses in
the city because all of them supposedly have been bought up by Muscovites. But
in fact, nothing is happening and nothing is being built.”
As
a result, “for residents, life is becoming ever more difficult.” And on the
Russian side, officials still view the border regions as places where
non-governmental activity should be severely constrained. “For Russia up to
now, the borders are a limiting factor, reflecting fears of an external enemy.”
That,
Namsarayeva says, is “a mentality certainly of the last century when the
territory of the country was divided into an enormous front region and the
rear.” But in China, the situation is “just the reverse.” There “border areas
are a territory of new possibilities,” and since the 1970s, Beijing has
promoted their development because that is “where business calls you!”
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