Paul
Goble
Staunton, August
23 – Despite a dramatic decline in the number of abortions in the Russian
Federation since 1991 and claims that it has overcome “the culture of abortion”
as the primary means of birth control, nearly one third – some 29.3 percent –
of Russian pregnancies still are being aborted.
In the new issue of
“Demograficheskoye obozreniye,” Moscow researchers Viktoriya Sakevich and Boris
Denisov ask “whether there is a basis for optimism” about abortion trends in
Russia and suggest that the situation has improved dramatically since Soviet
times but that much remains to be done (demreview.hse.ru/2014--1/120991286.html; opec.ru/1737752.html).
The number of abortions in Russia
fell from four million in the last year of Soviet power to 1,064,000 in 2012,
the last year for which complete figures are available, the two demographers
say. Thus, it appears that “’abortion
culture’ as a means of regulating fertility is becoming a thing of the past.”
Declines in this overall number reflect
not only more widespread use of contraceptives and other family planning
measures, Sakevich and Denisov say, but also the declining number of women in
the prime childbearing ages. And they note that the number of abortions in
Russia is still very high compared to rates elsewhere, with 29.3 percent of pregnancies ending with an abortion.
Not only is this rate several times greater
than in Sweden and Germany, but what is especially worrisome is that the
largest share of abortions is found not among the youngest age cohorts as in
other countries but rather among women in the prime child-bearing age group of
25 to 29.
Over the last 20 years, Sakevich and
Denisov say, the number of abortions among women under than 20 has fallen 4.4.
times per 1,000, from 69.7 to 15.7.
Among those aged 20 to 34, the rate has fallen 3.4 times from 152.5 to
44.7 per 1,000.
As a result and also because of the
government’s maternal capital program, the number of live births has exceeded
the number of abortions in recent years.
In 1990, there were 206 abortions for every 100 live births in the
Russian Federation. In 2007, the ratio was 92 to 100; and in 2012, it was 56
abortions for every 100 live births.
At the present time, 69 percent of
abortions in Russia are “medically legal,” they say, and as a result, the
number of deaths from botched abortions has fallen dramatically from more than
195 in 1992 to only 13 in 2012. Thus, the demographers write, “mortality from
abortions has been almost liquidated.”
But
calls for restricting abortion rights, they argue, could reverse this positive
trend and lead to more illegal abortions outside of clinics and more
deaths. Moreover, Sakevich and Denisov
argue, moves in that direction would do little to reverse declines in fertility
rates among Russians.
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