Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 2 – Many Russians,
including Vladimir Putin, believe that Belarusians are so similar to Russians
that they will dissolve in the larger community, but the experience of the
roughly 500,000 Belarusians in the Russian Federation since 1991 calls such
beliefs into question.
Indeed, Russian journalist Vsevolod
Shimov says in a commentary for the RuBaltic portal that Belarusians in
the Russian Federation, while they can “easily integrate” into the Russian
nation, often do not but instead stress their distinctiveness and even serve as
an “ethnic lobby” for Minsk (rubaltic.ru/article/politika-i-obshchestvo/03012020-gde-v-rossii-zhivut-belorusy/).
Belarusian diaspora life in the
West, he says, is dominated by nationalists who stress the distinction and
hostility between Belarusians and Russians. That is not the case with
Belarusians in the Russian Federation. But “the Belarusian state has been
interested in supporting the self-consciousness of its compatriots in Russia
and preventing their complete dissolution.”
As a result, “Belarusian national
organizations are active not only in Moscow and St. Petersburg but in regions
of Russia, including [occupied] Crimea, Irkutsk oblast and so on.” Given Moscow’s importance for Minsk, the
presence of “its own lobby” inside Russia “is acquiring particular importance
for the Belarusian state.”
Indeed, Shimov says, “the diaspora
is becoming one of the instruments of lobbying the interest of official Minsk.” However “paradoxical” it may sound, Russia
has made it relatively easy for Belarusian nationalists to influence the
Belarusian diaspora by promoting the creation of ethnic organizations that inevitably
promote a sense of separateness.
That can be seen in the activities
of the Belarusian diaspora in Irkutsk where its members routinely march under
the white-red-white flag of the nationalists and take part in what Shimov
chooses to call “ethnographic festivals” (see belaruspartisan.by/life/212403/).
The situation and role of the Belarusian
diaspora in Crimea have become especially noteworthy since the 2014 annexation
of that peninsula by Russia. Minsk has
not recognized the annexation as legitimate although the Belarusian community
on the peninsula has. And the Belarusian
diaspora in Crimea has been more enthusiastic about the union state than Minsk.
But Shimov continues, “it is
extremely probable that the organization serves as a channel of unofficial
communication between Belarus and the Crimean authorities under conditions of
the lack of official recognition and the ‘multi-vector’ maneuvering of Minsk.”
At the same time, the diaspora in this case wants some things Minsk doesn’t.
The diaspora would like to see the
restoration of rail connections between
the peninsula and Belarus, something Minsk has avoided lest it fall under
Western sanctions or anger Kyiv (ria.ru/20191229/1562987538.html).
It can’t be excluded, however, that Minsk is using the diaspora to test the waters
on this issue as on others.
Three things make Shimov’s article
intriguing and important. First, it is a rare example of the positive coverage by
a pro-Kremlin site of a phenomenon that calls into question Putin’s ideological
position. Second, it suggests that Belarusians living in Russia may become more
Belarusian than even those who live in Belarus, a warning to those calling for
unification of the two countries.
And third, it may very well be an
indication that the Kremlin is now focusing on the role of such diaspora groups
and plans a crackdown, having chosen one that it not unreasonably from its
position assumes will attract few supporters in the West and thus make it easier
for Moscow to begin this process.
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