Paul Goble
Staunton, March 5 – Budapest has
announced that it has handed out Hungarian citizenship papers to 94,000 people
in Trans-Carpathia in Western Ukraine in expedited fashion (regnum.ru/news/polit/1902010.html),
an action that creates yet another challenge for Kyiv and may very well have
been coordinated with Moscow.
The Hungarian official responsible for
nationality policy says that this is part of a broader effort to boost the size
of the country’s population and points out that two-thirds of the more than
710,000 new Hungarians are from Transylvania in Romania and 17 percent are from
the Voevodina in Serbia and only 14 percent are from Transcarpathia.
All three areas have been targeted
by the Gabor Betlen Foundation which the Russian news agency Regnum reports,
and all three are being destabilized by its actions as the Russian agency does
not.
In a Ukrainian-language commentary
today, however, Mikhail Pozhivanov, a former deputy in the Verhovna Rada and a
former Ukrainian deputy economics minister says exactly that, adding that while
“Transcarpathia is not the Donbas,” it is a place where Moscow with Budapest’s
help hopes to destabilize the situation (nv.ua/opinion/pozhyvanov/vengerskaya-karta-o-separatizme-v-zakarpate--37543.html).
Hungary has been fishing in these
troubled waters for some time, he writes, pointing to Hungarian support for the
Transcarpathian Rusins and the fact that one of that group’s leaders, who
operated under the cover of a Russian Orthodox priest, was accused of promoting
separatism by the Yanukovich regime and subsequently found guilty of that.
Over the past year, Moscow
commentators have suggested that Hungary should take the lead in offering
citizenship to ethnic Hungarians in Ukraine and even recognizing some kind of
Transcarpathian “republic” there, possibly on the model of the LNR and DNR
statelets Moscow has set up in eastern Ukraine.
Budapest has not been slow to
respond to that idea, but its role in the Transcarpathia has expanded dramatically
since the election of Victor Orban as prime minister and the visit of Vladimir
Putin to the Hungarian capital, during which the Russian president stressed the
common ties and interests of Moscow and Budapest in Ukraine, according to
Pozhivanov.
Budapest recognized the Russian
Anschluss of Crimea, and it has been an active opponent of EU sanctions against
Russia for its intervention in Ukraine. But the most dangerous thing it has
done may be its stirring up of the Hungarian minority in the western part of
Ukraine, something that forces Kyiv to divide its attention, the Ukrainian
commentator says.
To argue that Hungary will succeed
in creating a serious territorial challenge to Ukraine “would be an exaggeration,”
Pozhivanov says.But to ignore the problem would also be a mistake, especially
given Hungary’s actions and the all too obvious ways in which Budapest is
coordinating them with Moscow.
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