Paul
Goble
Staunton, March 3 – In words that
some will dismiss as being like those of the little boy who cried wolf and that
others will see as a cry of despair, Latvian TV journalist Olga Dragilyeva says
that Moscow has launched a hybrid war against Latvia by using its media to
generate “dissatisfaction and illusions” among the residents of Latvia.
“For many years,” she said today, “Russian-language
media controlled by the Russian government and NGOs connected with Russia have
been cultivating dissatisfaction among the Russian-speaking part of the
population” in order to “manipulate” Latvia from the outsiden vesti.lv/news/general-v-shoke-95-mestnyh-russkih-protiv-ukrainy
and topwar.ru/70146-latviyskie-smi-v-latvii-nyne-nablyudaetsya-4ya-stadiya-gibridnoy-voyny.html).
Dragilyeva says that the solution to
this is to be found in the creation of a Latvian-organized television channel
in Russian with its own correspondents “in Kyiv and Moscow, Washington and
Latgale” and a commitment to providing the kind of accurate and reliable
information about events in all those places that Russian-controlled channels
don’t.
But some Latvians worry such a step
may be too little too late. Martins Kaprans of the Latvian ministry of culture,
says that Riga must take stronger measures against what he called “illegal
satellite television.” Former MVD General Ainars Pencis adds that at a minimum
Russian TV channels must be closed down for at least six months.
Commenting on this, former Latvian
General Guntars Abols acknowledged that Latvia today is “in a nervous situation,”
one in which it is unclear “where there is peace and where there is war” given
that Russia is exerting so much pressure on it and Latvia has relatively few
resources with which to respond.
“Let us be realists,” he says. “Even
if we introduced obligatory military service, we would not be able over the
next 10 to 15 years to create armed forces capable of standing up to such an
opponent who has overwhelming power in the conventional sphere” not to speak of
anything else.
Instead, Latvia must work with its
allies and must be prepared at the first appearance of “’little men’ without
designations on the uniforms” to fight. No delay is possible.
This discussion highlights two
fundamental problems which many do not want to take into consideration. On the
one hand, Latvia does face a real and ongoing threat because of the impact of
Russian media, something that has been ongoing and that by failing to build a
Latvian Russian-language media that country has only compounded.
And on the other, while ignoring
this threat would be a mistake, talking about it in any but the most careful
way may have exacerbate relations between various groups and regions in Latvia
and thus may unintentionally play into the hands of the Moscow authors of
Russia’s latest version of hybrid war in a television-saturated age. Indeed,
that may be part of their strategy.
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