Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 7 – Violence in
Syria that is prompting more Circassians there to seek to return to their
homeland, Ankara’s new and more positive approach to that nation in Turkey, and
increased activism among Circassians in the North Caucasus has forced Moscow to
turn its attention to the Circassian issue, according to Filipp Gromyko.
The Kavkazskaya politika journalist says that Moscow had turned away
from the Circassian issue after the Sochi Olympiad but these changes and
divisions within the organized Circassian community have forced the Russian
government to get involved more heavily once again (kavpolit.com/articles/cherkesy_i_kavkazskij_polpred_vizit_vezhlivosti_il-32921/).
This new Russian
attention includes a recent meeting between Oleg Belaventsev, the presidential
plenipotentiary of the North Caucasus Federal District and Khauti Sokhrokov,
head of the International Circassian Association, two men whose similar ages
and similar backgrounds suggest they’ll have better ties than the ICA and
Belaventsev’s predecessor did.
But the relationship is about more
than personalities, Gromyko says. The
ICA has lost influence as various republic organizations and KAFFED in Turkey
have broken with it as a result of Sokhrokov’s authoritarian style, Russian
clumsiness in handling Circassian claims, and the conclusion of many Circassians
that the ICA is simply a “for show” organization.
And now both the Russian government
because of developments abroad and in the North Caucasus and the ICA for its
own survival have an interest in working together, something that could lead
Moscow to make concessions to the Circassians on Syrian refugees and on their
national media given Turkey’s moves in that direction.
“It is no secret,” Asker Sokht of
the Krasnodar Adygey Khase, “that the ICA in recent times has been in a quite
complicated situation. Being in essence a Russian NGO but international in its
status, the ICA without major patronage from the government has been
transformed into ‘an orphan,’ which the state doesn’t need at all.”
At present, the ICA does not receive
real help from Moscow and so is increasingly a dead letter, Sokht continues;
but Circassians groups abroad are developing rapidly – and that has changed the
balance of power within the Circassian world from inside the borders of the
Russian Federation to the diaspora, a change Moscow does not welcome.
The stronger the diaspora is and the
weaker the ICA becomes, the less influence Moscow has over both groups and the
more likely the diaspora will be able to play a greater role not only in each
of the countries where its five million plus members are located but among the roughly
500,000 Circassians inside Russia.
The meeting between Belaventsev and Sokhrokov
could be an indication that Moscow feels it has to do more on the Circassian
issue, that it cannot afford a situation in which the Circassians of Turkey, the
Middle East and the West set the agenda for that nation. But for the Russian authorities to change the
balance will require more than one meeting.
Nikolay Silayev, an MGIMO scholar
who focuses on Circassian issues, says that he doubts the Belaventsev-Sokhrokov
meeting was more than a protocol event, at least for the presidential
plenopotentiary. But there are some
important issues before both men, and the Circassians may now be ready to seize
the moment.
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