Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 10 – Until recently,
in the wake of any terrorist attack inside Russia, Russians focused their anger
on the terrorists, Ruslan Gorevoy says; but after the bombing in St. Petersburg,
they have shifted their fury against the powers that be which repeatedly have
promised to defend them against terrorism but have proved incapable of doing
so.
As Andrey Illarionov observed (aillarionov.livejournal.com/990006.html)
in a commentary Gorevoy cites with approval, this marks a sea change in Russian
attitudes and constitutes “the new reality” of political life in Russia, one
that the powers can ignore only at their peril (https://versia.ru/pochemu-rossiyu-budut-vzryvat-i-dalshe).
Gorevoy argues
that Russians have proven themselves to be incredibly “naïve,” accepting as
true the authorities’ promises after each terrorist attack to prevent new ones
only to have new outrages visited upon them because the powers that be have not
taken the steps needed to guarantee the security that the population very much
wants and deserves.
Americans have proven themselves
much less naïve, he continues. They adopted the Patriot Act after the September
11 attacks, something no Russian government has done because they recognize
that sometimes nations must give up some of their basic freedoms in order to
defend their security.
Why hasn’t that happened in
Russia? There are many reasons, Gorevoy
says. He points in particular to Moscow’s failure to restrict immigration from
Central Asia, a failure that reflects the fact that all too many in the Russian
elites benefit from that influx even if it brings with it Islamist
terrorism.
But ordinary Russians are beginning
to understand that there is a problem with their own rulers, the Moscow
commentator says. “If earlier the people by custom laid all blame for terrorist
attacks on the terrorists themselves, then now many have begun to reflect” and
to ask why those charged with defending them have failed to do so.
The Kremlin should recognize what that
shift means. In Israel after Black September, Israelis turned on Golda Meir and
forced her from office for inaction – even though she was extremely popular up
to that point. Dmitry Medvedev doesn’t
have that level of support now, Gorevoy says.
Russians need an American-style
Patriot Act. Its provisions have meant that there have not been any major
terrorist actions in the US since its adoption, Gorevoy points out. But there is little or no chance that such a
measure will be adopted in Russia: too many powerful people benefit from not
having such a measure in place.
The banks, for example, oppose its
introduction because of the strict reporting requirements it would impose on them. Businessmen and officials who benefit from the
use of gastarbeiters don’t want to lose their profits. And the government is doing little or nothing
to explain why such a law would benefit Russians because it won’t benefit the
elites.
What that means is both simple and
tragic, Gorevoy concludes, as a result of official inaction, “Russia is going
to be blown up again and again in the future.”
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