Paul Goble
Staunton, Sept. 25 – Predictions of Russia’s collapse and disintegration are coming ever more frequently from those who oppose Putin’s war in Ukraine, but now similar predictions are coming from those who support the war but don’t think the Kremlin leadership of today is capable of winning.
Among those in this emerging category is Maksim Kalashnikov, a Z military correspondent, who says that he feels a sense of déjà vu when he considers what is happening because it features so many of the same things that brought down the Soviet system just over three decades ago (dialog.ua/war/302087_1727207888).
The pro-war blogger says that the reason Russia is heading toward defeat in Ukraine is “the collapse of the system of state administration” in Moscow and that that collapse has happened because of the negative selection of cadres with the best being passed over or excluded and the worst retained or promoted.
Such a system cannot win the war or even keep the population from being demoralized; and this one hasn’t done either, Kalashnikov says. And that suggests that Russia’s future is anything but a good one. Instead, it is more likely to be like the future of the USSR in 1990-1991.
Indeed, he continues, it cannot even prevent the simple disasters in the streets of Moscow that any regime not consisting of imbeciles could. And as a result, those looking for the main chance even at the cost of their country likely have the best opportunities to succeed in the future just as was the case at the end of Soviet times.
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