Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 1 – Despite
Vladimir Putin’s support for what he describes as “conservative” values and the
willingness of some in the West to take that at face value, a leading Moscow
sociologist says there are few conservatives in Russia today and that those who
say they are conservatives in fact want to restore Soviet values and
arrangements.
At a recent roundtable at the
Gorbachev Foundation, Vladimir Petukhov, a specialist on public consciousness
at the Moscow Institute of Sociology, said that he was very skeptical about the
presence of what some call “conservatism” in Russia, Kremlin claims
notwithstanding (isras.ru/files/File/publ/Petuhov_gorbachev_fond.pdf;
summarized at ttolk.ru/?p=21206).
In his remarks which have now been
published, Petukhov said that it is important to distinguish between “doctrinal”
views and the perceptions of the population about them. He gave as an example “democracy.” Twenty
years ago, Russians defined it in terms of rights and freedoms; now they define
it in terms of economic growth and equal treatment under the law.
Moreover, while many people support
this or that action in words, far fewer support the same things when they are
told that they might have to tighten their belts to achieve them, Petukhov
said. And in addition, increasingly, Russians are telling pollsters not what
they think but what they think the bosses want to hear.
“The division of society into a
conservative majority,” albeit an “inert” one, and “an active liberal and
opposition minority” is “an absolute invention,” the sociologist says. There is
no empirical support for that position. Both “liberals” and “conservatives” in
Russia are “not very significant minorities.”
The majority of the population, “the
enormous unstructured mass” of about 60 percent “does not have any ideological
or political preferences.” Instead, Petukhov said, it is oriented more toward
consumerism” and is little concerned about anything
that does not touch its standard of living directly.
The only division
in this mass which should be mentioned is between those who are seeking to
achieve something for themselves by active work and those, a much larger group,
who “are oriented toward the status quo” and simply don’t want to have anything
rock the boat. The active ones now form 35 percent of the total, and the more
passive 30 percent.
“There are very
few authentic conservatives in Russia,” the scholar added. Those who call themselves
that or who are identified by others with that term are in fact “more
traditionalists (and Soviet traditionalists by the way) and not conservatives.”
They support not conservative values as such but the restoration of a statist approach
and great power status.
Putin’s promotion
of Russia as a great power is supported across the political spectrum, Petukhov
said, and it has “in a certain sense destroyed the opposition, especially the
nationalist and leftist.” But this may
not be for long, if Russia reacts as it did to the 2008 Russian war with
Georgia.
That conflict
generated “the same outburst of hurrah patriotic and great power attitudes,”
but these dissipated relatively quickly after only seven or eight months. That
is because except during crises, Russians focus above all on the situation
inside the country rather than on foreign policy. Even if a crisis continues,
they will begin to think about the costs and be less supportive.
“In fact,” the
sociologist said, “the apologists of conservatism are privatizing all-human values”
in ways that the supporters of “any ideological trend” can, he said. “But
somehow it is considered that if someone talks about the importance of the
family and work, that makes him a conservative.” In fact, such an individual is
“a Russian traditionalist with a ‘Soviet’ accent.”
In support of
that view, Petukhov cited a poll he had conducted in April 2014. At that time,
Russians were asked what values they thought were most important. More than 75
percent talked about honor and love of work, but only eight percent mentioned
religion and only 14 percent mentioned patriotism.
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