Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 10 – Arguing that
if the dispute over the study of Tatar “is not a crisis,” Moscow commentator
Oleg Kashin asks rhetorically “then what is a crisis?” and suggests that the language
dispute has transformed Kazan, the capital of Tatarstan, into Barcelona, the
capital of Catalonia.
By virtue of its size and
importance, he says, “Kazan has the right to call itself the Russian Barcelona.
Perhaps in the context of events in Catalonia, such a comparison makes a
somewhat ominous impression” but under the circumstances, that is just as well
given what is at stake (republic.ru/posts/87580).
Earlier this year, Moscow offended
Kazan by not extending the power-sharing agreement Tatarstan had had with the
center since the 1990s, an agreement more symbolic than real but important all
the same for that. But the Kremlin clearly feels it can do what it wants and
can ignore the Tatars and this history.,
But even before that conflict could
cool down, “Moscow and Kazan got into an argument again,” Kashin says, but this
time not about a symbolic agreement but about language which is “vitally
important for nation building, statehood, and means power as such.” History
should have taught Moscow that touching this issue was dangerous.
At the end of Soviet times, Moscow
tried to strip Georgia’s constitutional provisions about language but in the
face of protests had to back down. And more recently, the language issue in
Moldova stood behind and exacerbated the controversy between Chisinau and
Transdniestria.
However, “in the 27th
year of its post-Soviet existence, the federal center suddenly focused on the problem
of requiring Russian pupils in the republics to study the local language and
chose Tatarstan in which to restore order, precisely the most complicated and
potentially conflictual republic with the greatest traditions of soft … and yet
very insistent separatism.”
If these two events, the refusal of
Moscow to extend the power-sharing agreement and the challenge to non-Russian
languages, had not occurred so close to each other, one might have considered
these accidental “excesses which would not “violate the general course of
Russian and Tatarstan history.”
But Kashin continues, “when these
happened one right after the other without a break, both conflicts look like
two parts of some greater process indicating a sharp change in the policy of the
Kremlin toward the republics within the Russian Federation.” Clearly, if Moscow
gets its way in Tatarstan, the other republics face the same or worse.
The Moscow commentator says that two
“mutually exclusive remarks” need to be made. First, the administrative
territorial system of Russia inherited from Soviet times is “unjust in regard
to the Russian majority of citizens of the country who unlike Tatars, Sakha,
Maris and others do not have any institutions of a nation state.”
“’I am a Tatar is the foundation not
only of ethnic but of a regional identification of Tatars who in fact have
their own state albeit within Russia … ‘I am a Russian’” has none of those meanings
because the oblasts and krays are not charged with supporting the culture and identities
of the Russian majorities.
The creation of a genuinely equal
federal system would be difficult, Kashin says; but it is perhaps the case that
Putin with his “practically absolute power” is the only one who could do
it. But conflicts like the one he has
launched are likely to set that process back or possibly block it altogether.
And second, Kashin points out, “neither
Tatarstan nor even the less significant republics have lived through the 26
years of the post-Soviet era to no purpose.” They have been cultivating their
mythologies and ambitions. “Depriving peoples even of certain signs of
statehood is an obvious provocation, the result of which will be national
radicalism up to separatism.”
“It is possible that no peaceful means
of liquidating ethnic autonomies or limiting their rights exist and that a
Kazan Gubernia – or even a Petrozavodsk one where there is a Russian majority
and where the ‘titular’ nation doesn’t seriously aspire to power – is impossible”
and the only way forward is not to tamper with existing arrangements.
But the current case suggests Moscow
hasn’t thought this through and isn’t as interested in defending the rights of
Russians as it is pleased to suggest, Kashin argues. Clearly what is at work are the ambitions of
Sergey Kiriyenko, the presidential aide who used to be plenipotentiary in the
Middle Volga, and the desire of Rosneft to take over Tatneft.
To the extent that is the case, the
Moscow commentator concludes, “the final responsibility for both the conflict
itself and its results always lies on the center simply because it has much
greater chances, resources and experience. Thus, the position of Kazan looks
logical and even a compromise, while the behavior of Moscow appears strange and
irresponsible.”
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