Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 14 – Despite all
the ways Russian firms and officials have of minimizing unemployment – cutting hours,
not paying workers and simply lying – independent Moscow economic experts say that
the condition of the economy is now so dire that unemployment may double to ten
percent by the beginning of next year.
Anna Pestevera of Kommersant reports that these cuts are
likely because it is at the end of the year that companies compile their
earnings and losses for the year and make plans for the year ahead, including
for the new range of sanctions that the United States is set to impose on
February 2 (kommersant.ru/doc/3466194?tw).
Alena
Vladimirskaya of the Anti-Slavery Project said that major reductions “from five
to fifteen percent” are now expected in companies in various branches as a
result of the changing economic situation. “Traditionally,” she adds, “reductions
in force take place when organizations sum up their financial results,” something
that happens from December through March.
Georgy
Dzagurov of Penny Lane Realty says cutbacks are likely among workers like Uber
and other taxi drivers but now among those in the IT sector. Irina Rys of Lanta
Bank says they will occur in firms doing business abroad who can tell that
their activities are likely to decline in the new year.
And Sergey Vikulin, director of the Raschini
Fashion House, says that as economic conditions have deteriorated, managers are
looking to weed out people who are not being as productive as needed for their
companies to survive.
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