Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 10 – The
anti-Putin attitudes of people reacting to a picture of Vladimir Putin in a
Moscow apartment building elevator not only could be replicated throughout
Russia but resemble the same kind of attitudes that were found in the Soviet
Union about Leonid Brezhnev during his long reign, Igor Eidman says.
“The Putin regime is without mass
social support,” the Russian sociologist says. “This distinguishes it from fascism
and Stalinism,” which however horrific really enjoyed the support of large
swaths of the populations of Nazi Germany and Stalin’s Soviet Union (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5E402FBE922A2).
But today, the only people backing
Putin are the siloviki and officials who are paid to do so, “and also elderly
people who remain under the strong influence of television propaganda and (or)
the Russian Orthodox Church.” The numbers of the first two are growing but
those of the last are declining rapidly, Eidman continues.
At the present time, he argues, “neither
the lower strata of society, nor the intelligentsia, nor the creative class,
nor the workers provide majority support to the authorities.” And that leads to
two obvious conclusions:
On the one hand,” the late Putin regime
(like the late Brezhnevite one) is mortally ill. It is maintained only on the
apathy and fear of the population,” thus creating a situation in which the
current arrangement of power and its policies will not survive any serious
shock including of course the death of its organizers.
And on the other hand, “anyone who comes
in place of the aging dictator will be condemned to begin a new ‘perestroika’
in order to reanimate the system and recover the support of the population.” As with Brezhnev, that may not happen with the
first or even the second successor; but there is no question that it will
occur, Eidman concludes.
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