Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 30 – Despite the
convergence of the political systems of Russia and China, the Chinese economy
is growing rapidly while Russia’s is lagging behind, the result, Andrey
Yakovlev says, of Moscow’ failure compared to China to maintain a balance
between responsibility and control.
Yakovlev, a professor at Moscow’s
Higher School of Economics, argues in a new paper that both countries have
tried to ensure control as well as economic development but that China has
found a successful balance while Russia has not largely because Moscow has not
made the future of officials and businessmen dependent on results (opec.ru/1759130.html).
Instead, he says, Russian officials
responsible for controlling the economy are judged not by economic growth but
by their participation in anti-corruption campaigns and the like, while Chinese
officials are judged precisely on that basis and will be promoted, demoted or
fired depending on the growth of economic indicators.
If Russia is to succeed economically
with the political system that it now has in place, Yakovlev continues, then
Moscow almost certainly would find it advantageous to “try to introduce those
mechanisms which work in China now and worked in the Soviet Union in the past.”
Over the last decade, he argues, the
political and economic systems of Russia and China have converged with the
formation of state capitalism. Both have imposed restrictions on political
competition, both have massive corruption, and both have weak legal and
especially judicial systems.
But there is “a paradox,” he
continues. The Chinese economy is
growing rapidly while Russia’s is stagnating. Some have suggested that this
reflects differences in center-periphery relations, but while those were
relatively great in the 1990s, they are now minimal, with Moscow having
reimposed tight control over the federal subjects.
Others have argued that the two
countries adopted different forms of economic planning on the basis of the past.
The Chinese planned for the partial occupation of their country and thus set up
key nodes, while the Russians focused on plans built around a single economic
complex. That argument begs the question as to why the Soviets were successful
but Russia is not.
A better explanation for what has
happened is to be found elsewhere, Yakovlev suggests. Chinese officials and not
just businessmen are evaluated on the basis of economic success. If the
businesses in their area grow, they are promoted; if that doesn’t happen, then
they are demoted or even fired, an arrangement that is not true in Russia
today.
In addition, he says, “the Chinese
Peoples Republic effectively has been able to use ‘the system of two keys’
imported from the USSR.” At each level, there is an administrator (a governor
or a mayor) who is responsible for economic indicators and “a bureaucrat who
represents the controlling vertical, in this case, the communist party.”
That party
functionary, Yakovlev notes, “not only possessed large control authority but
along with the administrator is responsible for the results achieved.” If they
are good, he like the administrator will be promoted; if not, not. That leads “local officials to work more
effectively for the achievement of that result.”
Until the early
1980s, “that system worked in the USSR as well,” the scholar says, but with “a
very important distinction:” the Soviet economy was closed off from the world
and “oriented toward the fulfillment of the plan as such.” The Chinese economic
system is based on results and on results measured in competition with foreign
producers.
In Russia today, he points out,
there is also “’vertical control’ but this is not a party but the
administration of the president and the force structures under the control of
the president.” These people are
evaluated not on “the final result of economic growth” but rather on their work
as measured by checking and so on.
“As a result,” Yakovlev says, there
is a growing lack of balance “between responsibility for economic results”
which governors and the economic portions of the government bear and central
control which is implemented by “the presidential administration and force
structures” which are not evaluated in terms of economic performance.
Unless that
changes, the Moscow scholar says, Russia’s chances of matching China’s economic
performance are small and even its ability to escape the current stagnation are
not terribly great.
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