Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 23 – Most people
in Ukraine and elsewhere have focused either on the flight of former president
Viktor Yanukovich or on the flow of hundreds of thousands of refugees from the
violence in southeastern Ukraine, but a more important “emigration” from
Ukraine may be the nearly 5,000 Yanukovich backers who have gone with him to
Russia.
On the one hand, these people who
include many who were senior officials in Kyiv and elsewhere in Ukraine before
the Maidan constitute a veritable government in exile awaiting a return to
power. And on the other, the size of that number calls attention to just large
pro-Moscow factions are within not only the Ukrainian government but elsewhere
as well.
That in turn, far more than
Yanukovich’s departure or the refugees from violence, constitutes a problem for
all the former Soviet republics because the existence of such people represents
the basis of Moscow’s assumption that it has the levers to keep these countries
under its thumb – or at the very least represents a continuing temptation for
Russia to try to do so.
Among these 5,000 from Ukraine are
former interior minister Vitaly Zakharchenko, former defense minister Pavel
Lebedev, former justice minister Elena Lukash, former procurator general Viktor
Pshonka, former head of the national security service Grigory Ilyashov, and
former vice prime minister Sergey Tabachnik (news.online.ua/669067/vsled-za-yanukovichem-v-rossiyu-sbezhali-okolo-5-tysyach-ukrainskih-chinovnikov-i-ih-rodstvennikov/).
They, their allies in the banking
and business communities and others have fled to Moscow where they have purchased
expensive properties in the city or land nearby. As a result of this
emigration, Ukrainian citizens now occupy “two-thirds of the market for elite
Moscow housing.” In short, they took a lot of the wealth they had acquired in
Ukraine to Russia.
Some of these former officials may
plan to remain in the Russian capital forever, happily living among others who
share their views about geopolitical arrangements in Eurasia. But at least some
of them and not just Yanukovich whose plans in this regard have been discussed are
likely plotting their return to power in Kyiv.
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