Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 9 – If Moscow is
going to ensure the construction of a “Russian world,” a pro-Russian ethnic
Kazakh commentator says, it will have to rely on more than ethnic Russians and must
promote the conversion of at least a third of Muslims on territories it
controls to Orthodox Christianity.
On the IARex.ru portal, Yermek
Taychibekov says that “whether we like it or not, Russia will be restored and
expanded. Crimea is only the beginning of this process.” And that means Vladimir Putin and his
government must think not just about taking control of territory but about
integrating the population into a Russian world (iarex.ru/articles/51378.html).
Up to now, he continues, Putin has
been trying as much as he can “to restrain the imperial attitudes of the
Russian people and is attempting to limit and channel the eagerness for the
reunification of territories” lost with the end of the USSR. But “sooner or
later, the question will arise how to control and administer these borderlands.”
The reality is, Taychibekov says,
that “quantitatively and proportionally there are not enough ethnically Russian
people” to achieve that. As a result, he says, the Kremlin must face up to the
fact that it will have to include others within its idea of a Russian world if
it is to ensure the stability and growth of the latter.
Knowing the Russian language won’t
by itself prevent Central Asians or Caucasians from being “convinced
Russophobes or opponents of Russian foreign and domestic policy,” he says. And
even Slavs or “ethnic Russians” are not necessarily going to be “loyal” to
Russia. Instead, they too may be “fundamental Russophobes.”
But there is one way, Taychibekov
suggests, for Moscow to build a Russian world in which all the population will
be loyal. That is suggested by the case of the Gagauz minority in Moldova. “The Gagauz are de facto ethnic Turks.” Their
land is not adjacent to the Russian Federation. “but they are Orthodox
Christians.”
Because of their faith, the Gagauz
were never interested in being part of Ottoman Turkey but instead “in their
overwhelming majority” have been “for Russia and for the Russian people. And
they constantly speak out in favor of reunification” with Russia.
Religious faith is “a powerful
instrument of motivation and influence on an individual,” he continues. Today,
some of the Muslim Crimean Tatars are against the annexation of their homeland
by Russia. But if they convert to Orthodox Christianity, they will “love”
Russia and be loyal to it.
If Moscow is able to promote the
Christianization of Muslim peoples, Taychibekov says, then “the national
minorities and aliens will themselves restrain the members of their fellow
tribes from a revolt against the imperial policy of the Kremlin.”
“It isn’t necessary to make them all
Christians, but a third would be optimal.” Moreover, he continues, “the process
itself must be peaceful and voluntary.” And he expresses the hope that “in the future
30 percent of the Tatars, Bashkirs, Kazakhs, Kyrgyz, Uzbeks, Tajiks, Turkmens,
Daghestanis, Chechens, Azerbaijanis, and Ingush will reject Islam and accept
Orthodoxy.”
There are at least three things that
have to be said about Taychibekov’s proposal. First, it is simply the idea of
one individual commentator, albeit one who works for a portal that is closely
linked to Russian nationalist elements in the Russian government. Consequently,
it is far from certain that Putin or any other Russian leader would adopt this
strategy.
But second, Taychibekov’s article
highlights something many prefer to overlook. Not only is the Russian
Federation becoming less ethnically Russian as a result of demographic
processes within its borders, but it will become even less so if it annexes
other countries. Consequently, the Kremlin does have to be thinking about what
would be the basis of unity and loyalty if ethnicity and language are not
enough.
And third, his ideas are certain to
provoke a negative reaction among both Russians and non-Russians. On the one
hand, many Russians already fear that Putin’s “Russian world” is simply an
updated version of the Soviet people and thus is an identity that provides
little protection for their own ethnic sensibilities but rather drowns them in
a larger pool.
And on the other, non-Russians and
especially Muslims both within the current borders of the Russian Federation
and beyond will see this call for conversion to Russian Orthodoxy as a grave
threat to their national futures, one that recalls the most intense
assimilationist goals of Imperial Russia with its Ilminsky system.
Given that, few in Moscow are likely
to accept what Taychibekov is proposing lest they provoke a reaction among
Russians or non-Russians, but an increasing number in the Russian capital are
clearly increasingly aware of the dilemma they face and that his argument
throws into heightened relief.
No comments:
Post a Comment