Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 17 -- The flood of news stories from a country as large,
diverse and strange as the Russian Federation often appears to be is far too
large for anyone to keep up with. But there needs to be a way to mark those
which can’t be discussed in detail but which are too indicative of broader
developments to ignore.
Consequently, Windows on Eurasia presents a selection of 13 of these other and
typically neglected stories at the end of each week. This is the 71st
such compilation. It is only suggestive and far from complete – indeed, once
again, one could have put out such a listing every day -- but perhaps one or
more of these stories will prove of broader interest.
1.
‘Putin is Our All –
Except for Kadyrov.’
One Russian demonstrator carried a sign making that declaration, an indication
that at least some Russians have a good understanding or the situation in their
country or perhaps only a sense of humor (rufabula.com/author/schigelsky/1495).
Polls show that Russians overwhelmingly support Putin, with a third of them
saying that his time in office has been the best ever for them over the last
century. The poll also found that Russians’ love for another dictator, Joseph
Stalin, has reached a 16-year high (newsland.com/user/362736698/content/tret-rossiian-schitaet-pravlenie-putina-luchshim-periodom-v-rf-za-100-let/5685512
and rbc.ru/politics/15/02/2017/58a33b919a79472a55281e2a). Despite current problems with his bromance
with Donald Trump, Putin appears to have decided to exploit this for his own
financial gain: his aides have announced plans to introduce “a Kremlin brand”
for which the leader would presumably be paid royalties (versia.ru/v-rossijskix-magazinax-poyavyatsya-produkty-pod-sobstvennoj-markoj-kremlya). And despite his popularity, some in the Duma think
he needs more protection from criticism and want to make slandering the
president a crime, even though others have pointed out that such a move, first
made by Mikhail Gorbachev in 1990, didn’t save that president (forum-msk.org/material/news/12822986.html).
Putin doesn’t yet have a Russian city named after him, but ever more media
outlets are now referring to Nizhny Tagil as “Putingrad” given the massive
support he supposedly has from workers in that city (nakanune.ru/news/2017/2/10/22460596/). And renaming things to bring them into
conformity with Putin’s feelings is proceeding apace elsewhere: the Russian
foreign ministry cafeteria, in a step that recalls the ill-fated notion in the
US Congress 15 years ago of calling French fries “freedom fries,” has decided
to rename the Kyiv cutlet the “Crimean
cutlet” (mk.ru/politics/2017/02/15/mid-pereimenoval-kotletu-pokievski-v-kotletu-pokrymski.html).
2.
‘Crimea is Ours;
Trump isn’t.’
Given the tougher line Washington has taken about Russian aggression in Ukraine
over the last week, many in Moscow are upset, complaining openly that Donald
Trump hasn’t lived up to his campaign promises (newsru.com/russia/15feb2017/volodin.html)
and blaming the shift on the power of “Russophobic” attitudes among the liberal
elite in the United States (versia.ru/sovfed-opasaetsya-rusofobskix-nastroenij-v-administracii-trampa).
Russian nationalists have protested against what they denounce as overly
positive coverage of the US administration (rufabula.com/photo/2017/02/15/trump), and the Kremlin has seconded that, reportedly
ordering Moscow media outlets to cut back on positive stories about Trump and
the US (republic.ru/posts/79774). That appears to be working, and Kremlin-controlled
media have not only been making fun of Trump himself but also playing up a
story about how members of the US Congress fell for reports about a
non-existent Russian threat to a non-existent country (ruskline.ru/news_rl/2017/02/14/amerikanskie_deputaty_v_shoke_rossiya_svergla_prezidenta_limpopo_barmaleya_postaviv_vmesto_nego_marionetku_kremlya_doktora_ajbol/).
But there are some Trump supporters
in Russia who, like some of his supporters in the US, say that they don’t care
what the American president says or does: they love and support him anyway (regnum.ru/news/polit/2237861.html
and politsovet.ru/54519-ekaterinburgskie-storonniki-trampa-prodolzhat-podderzhivat-ego-nesmotrya-na-krym.html). Meanwhile,
Russian psychiatrists announced that they were dealing with the first case of a
man who thinks he IS Donald Trump (twitter.com/hdevreij/status/830718438603632640). More sober analysts have been
pointing out that Trump’s program was never as pro-Russian as the Kremlin hoped
and that if the new US president succeeds in reindustrializing America, it will
be death for Russia which can’t hope to compete (obozrevatel.com/blogs/61250-dlya-putinskoj-rossii-eto-konechno-smert.htm)
or have fallen back on the slogan that “Crimea is ours; Trump isn’t” (ru.krymr.com/a/28311986.html).
3.
Russia’s One
Percent Own 75 Percent of Country’s Wealth. The richest one percent of Russia
owns 75 percent of the wealth of the country, new figures show (echo.msk.ru/blog/apopova/1929326-echo/),
even as most Russians have to borrow to pay off old debts or even to have
enough to eat (rosbalt.ru/russia/2017/02/10/1591088.html,
gazeta.ru/comments/column/mironova/10527365.shtml
and newsland.com/community/5392/content/bolee-60-protsentov-rossiian-s-trudom-dotiagivaiut-do-zarplaty/5688847). Other bad economic news this week includes: real
inflation is at least five times the Russian government’s figures, economists
say (rosbalt.ru/business/2017/02/16/1592513.html);
the decline in retail trade is accelerating (ng.ru/economics/2017-02-16/4_6930_torgovlya.html);
Russia ranks just below Madagascar in terms of economic freedom (https://republic.ru/posts/79720); and new statistics show that the Russian people
are more dependent on government spending than they were even in Soviet times (vedomosti.ru/economics/articles/2017/02/15/677712-naselenie-zavisit-ot-viplat). But perhaps the worst news at least with
regard to the future reflects a Kremlin decision: Russia’s old oil and gas
fields are running out but Moscow isn’t spending as much as it did to find new
ones to replace them (forbes.ru/biznes/339227-na-raspute-kak-skoro-v-rossii-zakonchitsya-neft).
4.
Russian
Arrested for Attempting to Smuggle Out WMD Components.
Although it has received little attention in the media, despite its potential
seriousness, Russian officials say they have arrested a man for attempting to
smuggle out of the country components needed for building weapons of mass
destruction (politsovet.ru/54503-v-ekaterinburge-presekli-vyvoz-za-granicu-elementov-dlya-oruzhiya-massovogo-porazheniya.html). But that is hardly the only security problem
for Russia’s armed services: the military facing its own cash shortages despite
more spending is now selling off strategic sites and thereby threatening Russia’s security (ruskline.ru/news_rl/2017/02/11/s_molotka_i_po_deshevke_ujdut_strategicheskie_aktivy_nad_stranoj_navisla_ugroza_unichtozheniya/);
Russian soldiers reportedly are increasingly suffering from Internet dependency
(vpk-news.ru/articles/35100);
and the defense ministry can’t say where 700 tanks in the Donbass came from (uawire.org/news/the-kremlin-does-not-know-how-700-tanks-have-appeared-in-the-donbass)
or get the number of medals for its servicemen in Syria right. ternet
dependency undermining capability of Russian military. It initially ordered
20,000, which would suggest that Russian forces there are far more numerous
than Moscow acknowledges (republic.ru/posts/79661)
but three days later declared that it had made a mistake and that the real
number of medals needed was only 2,000 (ria.ru/defense_safety/20170214/1487959824.html).
But there is one area of Russian security which doesn’t seem to have any
problems: the domestic security services and police who protect the regime. At
present, official statistic show that there are now twice as many such officers
in the Russian Federation per capita than were in Soviet times or in the US now
(newsland.com/community/4109/content/v-rossii-na-kazhdogo-zhitelia-vtroe-bolshe-politseiskikh-chem-v-ssha-i-v-sssr/5682451).
5.
Putin’s
Destruction of Russian Educational and Social Support Systems Gathers Steam. The Kremlin
leader has announced massive cutbacks in spending for higher education and
research and the closure of thousands of more schools over the next two years (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58A30E546907C,
kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58A4327554DAE and kommersant.ru/doc/3218008).
Teacher salaries are now only one-twelfth that of the level in Mexico (facebook.com/oleg.shein.1/posts/981872371944226),
and many university graduates are either unemployed or in jobs that don’t
require a university degree (rbc.ru/society/15/02/2017/58a40cb89a79471013b07506?from=main
and iq.hse.ru/news/202104963.html).
But the Putin regime even as it closes schools is becoming ever more attentive
to the political attitudes of students and pupils, bringing extremism charges
against minors in the worst Soviet tradition (znak.com/2017-02-13/v_tyumeni_protiv_shkolnika_vozbudili_delo_po_282_y_state_za_unizhenie_predstaviteley_vlasti
and ixtc.org/2017/02/po-stalinskomu-puti-sledovateli-vzyalis-za-shkolnikov/#more-13093).
In other sectors the situation is no better: 20 regions report they don’t have
the medicines they need to fight HIV/AIDS (znak.com/2017-02-15/v_20_regionah_rossii_vyyavlena_nehvatka_lekarstv_dlya_vich_inficirovannyh); government statistics show that Russians are now
eating 15 to 17 percent less than they did only two years ago because of
poverty (newsland.com/community/129/content/rossiiane-stali-menshe-est/5680239), although the numerically small peoples of the North are consuming more
calories than earlier because their diet has been changed and are suffering as
a result (nazaccent.ru/content/23190-na-yamale-u-korennyh-narodov-severa.html);
Russian officials say that the use of tollroads, a solution to transportation
problems in other countries is in fact making the situation in Russia worse (profile.ru/economics/item/115195-im-lyubye-dorogi-dorogi);
officials have dropped charges in family violence cases now that the law has
been changed (politsovet.ru/54486-iz-za-dekriminalizacii-v-ekaterinburge-zakryto-bolshe-tysyachi-del-o-poboyah-i-krazhah.html);
property crimes are increasing because of rising unemployment and poverty (newsmsk.com/article/17feb2017/statistic_crime.html);
and older people lacking access to polyclinics which have been closed under
Putin’s “optimization” scheme now find that they have to go to hospitals more
often because they are in worse shape (newsland.com/community/129/content/stariki-stali-rezhe-byvat-v-poliklinikakh/5689597).
6.
Protests in
Russia: More Numerous, More Creative and More Targeted. Demonstrations
outside of Moscow or St. Petersburg rarely get much coverage, but they are increasing
in number and size, creativity, and an ever greater willingness of participants
to link their specific problems to Kremlin policies, even if they are not yet
ready to risk attacking Putin personally.
Among those this week: opposition is spreading to Putin’s plan for
Russian history museums and parks in major cities (afterempire.info/2017/02/14/rusparks/), social protest about communal services and roads
has increased across the country (newsland.com/community/4765/content/v-rossii-narastaet-sotsialnyi-protest/5685641),
librarians in St. Petersburg protested budget cuts by handing out books to
passers-by (ixtc.org/2017/02/v-peterburge-v-znak-protesta-protiv-sliyaniya-bibliotek-razdayut-knigi/),
activists in Kazan projected a picture of Putin in a tubeteika onto the wall of
a major downtown building (business-gazeta.ru/article/336946),
officials and citizens openly protested spending on the Kerch bridge which they
said was ending any chance to repair roads (znak.com/2017-02-15/chinovnik_zabaykalya_zayavil_chto_v_regione_iz_za_kerchenskogo_mosta_net_deneg_na_dorogi
and ru.krymr.com/a/28315155.html),
university rectors demonstrated against budget cuts (theins.ru/opinions/45223), and pensioners
in Tyumen stormed a city council meeting to complain about the way officials
have been mistreating them (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58A5A5C29AA2B).
7.
Monuments Wars
Expand in Space and Time. Conflicts about monuments and memorials are
increasing not only across the Russian Federation and even beyond but also back
in time, leading to some absurdities and unexpected revelations. Among the
conflicts this week in addition to the most prominent one over St. Isaac’s in
St. Petersburg were the following: the desecration of a veterans memorial in
Adygeya (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/297571/),
Moscow’s renaming the five Northern Territory islands and giving one of them
the name of a Ukrainian hero (politobzor.net/122527-ostrov-kurilskoy-gryady-nazvan-v-chest-geroya-ukrainy.html), and a decision to rename the Parnas district in
St. Petersburg so it won’t advertise the opposition political party by that
name and suggestions that the northern capital should call on Greece to rename
Parnassus for the same reason (meduza.io/news/2017/02/15/peterburgskie-deputaty-reshili-pereimenovat-okrug-parnas-chtoby-ne-putali-s-partiey-i-kolbasnym-zavodom and kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58A482175F9E3). But perhaps
the most unusual conflict surfaced over the issue of why the Soviet coat of
arms featured a mistaken picture of a sickle for 14 years until someone noticed
it was wrong (ofigenno.com/oshibka-na-gerbe-sssr).
8.
Russian Fans Say
They’ll Target English Counterparts Who Come to 2018 World Cup. In what is anything but a welcoming gesture,
Russian soccer fans say they will attack English fans who come to Russia for
the 2018 World Cup (snob.ru/selected/entry/120729).
They made that declaration even before the controversy about a BBC film that
Moscow views as an attack on its right to host those games (/lenta.ru/news/2017/02/17/fansregret/,
politobzor.net/show-123064-zapad-zapustil-antirossiyskuyu-kampaniyu-v-preddverii-chm-2018.html
and newsland.com/community/4109/content/posolstvo-rf-v-londone-film-bi-bi-si-natselen-na-diskreditatsiiu-chm-2018/5689883).
More stories also appeared showing that Russia isn’t really prepared to host
the games: the St. Petersburg stadium not only is exploding in cost but is far
from ready (regnum.ru/news/society/2238810.html
and kasp
arov.ru/material.php?id=58A0121D9FD93). But Russian officials did take two steps this week in preparation for
a competition they may not even have: Volograd is building a Soviet-style
sobering up station in anticipation of fans at the World Cup (ng.ru/regions/2017-02-14/5_6928_volga.html), and Yekaterinburg has announced it will open a new
mosque in the center of the city for fans from Muslim countries (ura.ru/news/1052277837). Meanwhile the doping scandal continues to trap
more Russian athletes, with a 12th Russian stripped of his gold
medal from the London Olympiad (https://charter97.org/ru/news/2017/2/11/240531/), although Russian news outlets say that only one of
the Russian athletes who has lost a medal has returned it rules require (newsland.com/user/4296647978/content/olimpiiskuiu-medal-vernul-tolko-odin-iz-19-rossiiskikh-legkoatletov-sam-on-ne-upotreblial-doping/5688925).
9.
Valentine’s Day
Sparks Flood of Sex Stories. Every year on Valentine’s Day, Russia
media can be counted on to do two things: carry attacks on the holiday as a
Western profanation Russians should have nothing to do with, and stories about
sex and gender issues. 2017 was no exception. As expected, Russian
traditionalists and the Russian Orthodox Church denounced the holiday itself (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58A2CF4D0DD45).
But some of the stories from Russia’s “sex front” were more unusual. A Russian
porno star says that Russians make bad lovers and that that is one of the
reason there are so few Russian men in her business (snob.ru/selected/entry/120628);
and polygamy is reported to be widespread even in non-Muslim areas of the
Russian Federation (svpressa.ru/society/article/166132/),
but nowhere is it more public than in Islamic Daghestan where one restaurant
offered special savings to those who came with two or three wives (kp.ru/daily/26643/3662596/).
Elsewhere in the North Caucasus, the movie “50 Shades of Gray” has been banned
in deference to Islamic morality (.ekhokavkaza.com/a/28308740.html).
But in Moscow, the Russian version of Playboy announced it would be featuring
nudes once more to make the magazine “great again” (lenta.ru/articles/2017/02/16/nudity_comeback/).
One unhappy was sounded in all this: according to some sources, the interest
among some foreigners in taking Russian wives has plummeted in the last several
years (uduba.com/2625988/pochemu-russkie-jenyi-vyihodyat-iz-modyi).
10. New
Buryatia Head Says He’ll Learn Buryat. Aleksey Tsydenov,
whom Vladimir Putin has just named head of Buryatia, says that he plans to
learn Buryat. The new head, the product
of a mixed Buryat-Ukrainian marriage, is an ethnic Buryat but grew up speaking
Russian as he lived outside of Buryatia. To help him, Buryat activists have
worked up a dictionary of key terms he’ll need to know to get along there (nazaccent.ru/content/23156-vrio-glavy-buryatii-zajmetsya-izucheniem-buryatskogo.html
and asiarussia.ru/blogs/15185/). Meanwhile, in Tatarstan, young people say
that their foreign language of choice now is Chinese, “a necessity” for those
who want to make any kind of career (business-gazeta.ru/article/336405).
11. Moscow Intervenes to Restrict Non-Russian
Languages on Regional TV.
The Putin regime has taken another step in its Russianization drive,
something Moscow had not tried in the past: It is now regulating exactly how
many hours of programming there can be in non-Russian languages on regional
television and banning the use of non-Russian languages on second channels in
those republics which have more than one regional TV outlet (idelreal.org/a/28309764.html).
12. Leningrad Oblast Deputy Wants to
Create Ministry of Magic. To help Russians navigate these
difficult times, a deputy in the Leningrad Oblast assembly has called for
creating a ministry of magic that would set standards of fortune tellers,
magicians and others practicing similar arts (znak.com/2017-02-13/leningradskiy_deputat_predlozhil_sozdat_ministerstvo_magii).
13.
Some
Good Russians have Been Helping the Homeless Since 1990. For more than 25 years, a group of Russian
activists have been helping a group in the population that the authorities
prefer to ignore and do little to assist: the homeless. The group says it is
supported by many Russians out of their sense that the poorest of the poor
deserve assistance (homeless.ru/about/).
And six more from
countries near the Russian Federation:
1.
More than 1.6
Million People have Fled Russian Forces to Other Parts of Ukraine. Two years ago, as a result of massive Moscow
coverage, there was a great deal of attention to the million plus Ukrainians
who reportedly fled the Donbass into the Russian Federation, but there was much
less coverage to another flow: those Ukrainians who fled from the advance of
Russian forces into the rest of Ukraine. Now, Kyiv says that there are more
than 1.6 million such IDPs registered with Ukrainian authorities (sobytiya.info/news/v-ukraine-poschitali-pereselencev-iz-kryma-i-donbassa).
2.
Pro-Moscow Units
in Donbass Cadres-Forces, Undermanned by Easily Expanded. The pro-Moscow order of battle in Ukraine’s
Donbass shows that most pro-Russian forces there are cadres forces, undermanned
at present but easily expanded if more “volunteers” or soldiers from the Russian
Federation arrive (dsnews.ua/politics/-gibridy-na-donbasse-kto-gde-skolko-infografika--14022017220000).
3.
Only 93 People
Took Advantage of Belarus’ New Visa Free Regime. Minsk’s
extension of visa free travel to Belarus to more than 80 countries prompted
Moscow to make the border between Belarus and Russia a real one, with passport
control and customs. Seventy-eight percent of Russians said they wanted to
impose a visa requirement on Belarusians in response, something the Kremlin
says it has no plans to do (charter97.org/ru/news/2017/2/16/241064/
and news.tut.by/economics/531859.html). But Russians dramatically overestimated the
threat: On the first day of Belarus’s new visa free regime, only 93 foreigners
took advantage of it to visit Belarus (newsland.com/community/5206/content/stalo-izvestno-skolko-inostrantsev-priekhali-v-pervyi-den-bezviza-v-belarus/5684570).
4.
Forty Percent of
Young Tajiks Unemployed, World Bank Says.
According to the bank, 40 percent of all young Tajiks are unemployed as
well as 27 percent of all Tajik women (centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1487146620).
Given that unemployment among young men is one of the most accurate predictors
of crime and extremism in a society, these are truly worrying numbers. They
also explain why so many Tajiks have become gastarbeiters in the Russian
Federation.
5.
65,000 Uzbeks
Served in Soviet Forces in Afghanistan; 1500 of Them Died. One of the most widely believed stories about
the Soviet war of Afghanistan was that Moscow didn’t trust Central Asian
Muslims to fight there and pulled them out after using them in the initial
December 1979 invasion. But Tashkent has now published data showing that 65,000
Uzbeks served there, 1500 of them died, and 2500 returned as invalids (centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1487069640).
6.
US Said Turning
Down Ukrainian and Georgian Visa Applicants Far More Often than Russian Ones. A Moscow portal reports that the US State
Department is now turning down visa applicants from Ukraine and Georgia far
more often than it is doing so in the case of Russians, a pattern some might
see as a kind of mixed signal but that the Russian source says reflects the
real American estimation of conditions in these three countries (http://svpressa.ru/blogs/article/166248/).
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