Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 24 -- The flood of news stories from a country as large,
diverse and strange as the Russian Federation often appears to be is far too
large for anyone to keep up with. But there needs to be a way to mark those
which can’t be discussed in detail but which are too indicative of broader
developments to ignore.
Consequently, Windows on Eurasia presents a selection of 13 of these other and
typically neglected stories at the end of each week. This is the 72nd
such compilation. It is only suggestive and far from complete – indeed, once
again, one could have put out such a listing every day -- but perhaps one or
more of these stories will prove of broader interest.
1.
Putin, World’s
Richest Man, Now ‘Personification of Evil.’
Several Western media outlets have calculated that Vladimir Putin is now
worth at least 200 billion US dollars, making him by far the richest man on
earth (charter97.org/ru/news/2017/2/21/241652/). But that has
not prevented him from becoming, MGIMO professor Valery Solovey says, “the
personification of evil,” a status few leaders since Hitler have achieved (business-gazeta.ru/article/337881).
This week, however, he was increasingly elevated for other reasons by Russians:
LDPR head Vladimir Zhirinovsky said the Kremlin leader should be addressed like
as king or emperor as “your highness” (newsland.com/community/5652/content/zhirinovskii-predlozhil-nazyvat-prezidenta-vashe-velichestvo/569764), and a Duma
deputy proposed amending the constitution so that Putin could be declared
president for life and not have to worry about anything as trivial as elections
ever again (newsland.com/community/5625/content/tolstoi-vystupil-za-bessrochnoe-pravlenie-prezidenta-rf/5694512). The campaign to make it a crime to criticize
him continues (profile.ru/politika/item/115332-oskorblennaya-rossiya), and one analyst
points to an important feature of the Putin media: it is used not just to set
the agenda of the population but also and sometimes more importantly for
settling accounts among members of the
Moscow elite (politsovet.ru/54559-kiselev-protiv-nod-polityy-polivalschik.html).
2.
Kremlin Views
Trump as ‘Stupid, Un-Strategic, and Manipulable,’ Moscow Editor Says. Mikhail Fishman,
editor of the English-language Moscow
Times, says that Moscow has “made a puppet” of the new US president,
“playing” him because people in the Kremlin “consider him a stupid, un-strategic
politician” and thus somewhat “Putin is confident he can manipulate” (vox.com/conversations/2017/2/22/14697718/donald-trump-putin-russia-kremlin-hillary-clinton). His words echo
what is supposedly contained in a seven-page dossier on Trump that the Kremlin
ordered prepared according to US outlets but that Putin’s press secretary has
denied any knowledge of (bluedotdaily.com/nbc-reveals-russias-7-page-psych-dossier-on-trump-hes-weak-and-naive/ and versia.ru/peskov-kreml-ne-zakazyval-psixologicheskij-portret-trampa). Over the last
week, as Trump has made statements and selected officials Russia is less than
pleased with, the Russian media has swung against the US president both
qualitatively – stories about him are increasingly critical (ej.ru/?a=note&id=30765) – and
quantitatively – Russian media mentions of Trump have fallen by 75 percent (rbc.ru/politics/21/02/2017/58ac45419a79473a9ae3e505).) Putin’s press spokesman did go out of his way to say,
however, that the Kremlin had not issued orders that the media refer to Trump
less often (spektr.press/news/2017/02/17/peskov-oproverg-soobscheniya-o-trebovanii-kremlya-pomenshe-upominat-trampa-v-smi/).) Two other
Trump-Russia stories failed to get much notice: According to one, Ramzan
Kadyrov’s daughter is going to emulate Trump’s daughter and launch her own
fashion line (centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1487669880), and Trump,
according to Russian media, plans to block Muslims from the Russian Federation
from entering the United States (centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1487596200).
3.
Moscow Works Hard
to Hide Continuing Slide of Russian Economy. Russian officials and media
outlets trumpeted the fact that there was a rise in the disposable incomes of
Russians during January, claims that attracted interest in some Western outlets
although ones that have been dampened by analysis showing that this upward tick
was solely the result of one-time payments to pensioners (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58AD8D4FBBC07). A similar
pattern is likely to obtain when Moscow changes its official market basket
definition next month (https://versia.ru/ozdorovit-li-yeto-rossiyan-bolshoj-vopros). Meanwhile,
however, the bad economic news continued to flood it: Moscow’s cash reserves
fell by 100 million US dollars in the last week alone (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58ADB12448261), there was a 20
percent decline in new housing last month as compared to a year earlier (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58ADA45D66AE6), Rosneft
announced that its profits had been halved between 2015 and 2016 (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58AD5D3E58588), and dacha
prices have fallen 11.8 percent year on year as Russian seek to unload second
homes to bring in additional incomes (urbc.ru/1068064673-ceny-na-vtorichnoe-zhile-v-ekaterinburge-za-dva-goda-snizilis-na-118.html). Two
additional pieces of economic news are especially noteworthy: The Russian
government is mulling limiting cash purchases of major items as a way of
fighting the shadow economy (snob.ru/selected/entry/120900),
and it is now wrestling with a problem it earlier denied having: people who are
employed but who make too little money to rise about the official poverty
line (ng.ru/economics/2017-02-21/1_6934_bednyaki.html).
4.
Pensioners Charged
with Theft for Stealing Food to Eat; Senator Says They Should Get a Job. Some Russian
pensioners are now so poorly off that they are forced to steal small amounts of
food from their neighbors in order to survive. The Russian government is siding
with the neighbors and bringing charges against the starving elderly (facebook.com/currenttimetv/videos/1883978891817143/). Still more
insensitively, one Russian senator says old people who don’t have enough money
for food should “get a job” (newsland.com/community/4765/content/senator-rekomenduet-golodaiushchei-starushke-rabotat/5696148). Protests
continue to spread across Russia and to become more political. (For a sample of
reports on them, see politsovet.ru/54594-ekaterinburzhcy-obnyali-prud.html, ura.ru/news/1052278937, echo.msk.ru/blog/varlamov_i/1930474-echo/, echo.msk.ru/news/1930730-echo.html, ixtc.org/2017/02/vladivostok-protestuet-protiv-glonassa/, progorodsamara.ru/news/view/190579?_utl_t=fb and idelreal.org/a/28326928.html.) There are
plenty of other causes that may spark more demonstrations in the future: Russia
now ranks last in the effectiveness of its healthcare system and its medical
education system is collapsing (kommersant.ru/doc/3205843 and http://forum-msk.org/material/news/12844946.html), two-thirds of
Russian food-processing firms are said to violate sanitary norms (forum-msk.org/material/news/12853600.html) and ten percent
of milk on the shelves of Russian stories is adulterated (kp.ru/daily/26645.5/3664413/), street violence
is rising to the point that one commentator says Moscow now resembles Tombstone
in the old American West (forum-msk.org/material/news/12842412.html), Muscovites now
wait in car lines longer than the residents of any other city in the world
except Los Angeles (forum-msk.org/material/news/12848773.html), Aeroflot
retains antiquated and unfair work rules for its flight attendants and they are
suing the company (svoboda.org/a/28316051.html), the Duma is
largely eliminating local assemblies’ right to propose laws (politsovet.ru/54580-gosduma-otfiltruet-iniciativy-regionov.html), Moscow is
tearing down 8,000 slum apartment blocks but forcing their residents to move further away from the city center (kp.ru/daily/26646/3665876/), and gas prices
continue to rise (rosbalt.ru/business/2017/02/22/1594161.html).
5.
St. Isaac’s Fight
Only the Beginning of Fights over Religious Property. Many Russians are speculating that if St.
Isaac’s is ultimately handed back to the Russian Orthodox Church, many other
national treasures including even the Hermitage may be as well (gazeta.ru/culture/2017/02/23/a_10541213.shtml#page4). That explains some of the force behind
protests against the church on this issue. But there is another emerging
challenge: Encouraged by what they see as the Moscow Patriarchate’s success,
leaders of Russia’s Muslim community are now making plans to claim property
that was taken from them and have already had some success in court in that
regard (slamnews.ru/news-519154.html,
sobkorr.ru/news/58AAB8B449751.html
and politsovet.ru/54563-sud-zapretil-vlastyam-snosit-mechet-v-ekaterinburge.html). One matter of particular concern is the emergence
of shadowy and often violent supporters of the church, who often change the
name of their organizations to avoid being held accountable (life.ru/t/культура/976821/oni_zaprieshchali_kak_moghli_kak_riedieiut_riady_bortsov_s_vystavkami_i_spiektakliami). Also this
week, Russia acquired its own Macedonia-style name problem as South Ossetia
proceeded with its plans to add Alania to its name, something many in the North
Caucasus object to (kavkazr.com/a/alania-mojet-byt-ne-tolko-osetinskoy/28325463.html).
And just to prove that there is no historical event too old to forget or fought
over, this week, activists in Yekaterinburg announced plans to mark the Ice
Battle Alexander Nevsky fought against the Teutonic knights nearly a millennium
ago (politsovet.ru/54586-v-ekaterinburge-otmetyat-godovschinu-pobedy-aleksandra-nevskogo-v-ledovom-poboische.html).
6.
A Mixed Week on
the Athletic Doping Scandal. This
week brought fresh evidence of the Russian government’s direct involvement in
the doping scandal that has rocked Russian sports since Sochi with several
coming forward to say senior officials told athletes that if they ever talked
about the doping, they would be banned from competition for life (charter97.org/ru/news/2017/2/20/241473/).
But at the same time, the Russian sports authorities now have decided to take a
hard line against Western demands that they come clean on the doping issue (kommersant.ru/doc/3224871 and politobzor.net/show-123680-wada-shantazhiruet-rf-chto-agentstvo-hochet-za-vosstanovlenie-rusada.html),
apparently convinced that they can win out if they do. They have some basis for optimism: the IOC
has given Russian athletes preliminary approval to take part in the 2018
Olympics in Seoul (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58AB2A4D27252),
and the IAAF has allowed three Russian athletes to participate in competitions
under neutral flags (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58AFE5007FE47). But perhaps
the best commentary on the entire matter declared that the Sochi Olympiad, at
least as Russians imagined it at the time, was “the last positive event” in
that country (znak.com/2017-02-22/tri_goda_nazad_zakonchilas_olimpiada_i_eto_bylo_poslednee_pozitivnoe_sobytie_v_rossii).
7. Russia’s Force Structures Didn’t Have a Good Week. The last seven days have not been good ones
for Russia’s military despite Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s bold talk about
a “post-West” world order and Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin that Russia
now has a third ally (in addition to the army and the fleet) and that this is
the defense industry he oversees (gazeta.ru/army/news/9721025.shtml). There were
anti-war and anti-military protests in various cities and complaints that the
Kremlin had chosen the wrong day to honor the defenders of the fatherland and
had overly masculinized and militarized Russia’s calendar of holidays (http://abzats.info/q8hkf32x5gf7, https://snob.ru/selected/entry/121003,
ixtc.org/2017/02/peterburgskie-feministki-vystupili-v-zaschitu-muzhchin/,
business-gazeta.ru/article/337975
and business-gazeta.ru/article/338165). But there was even worse news: Transparency
International found evidence of corruption in the Russian defense ministry (transparency.org.ru/special/defence/),
a poll showed that a quarter of all Russians support those who try to avoid
military service (regnum.ru/news/polit/2240952.html),
and reports surfaced that Moscow was filling its draft quotas by forcing newly
minted Russian citizens among the gastarbeiters to don uniforms (fergananews.com/articles/9291). Moreover, despite what Rogozin said, defense
workers in Vladivostok went on strike to demand payment of back wages (forum-msk.org/material/news/12858752.html),
and the defense minister himself had to concede that a certain small portion of
Russian nuclear weapons aren’t combat ready (rbc.ru/politics/22/02/2017/58ad61639a7947437f8e8606).
8. Russia’s Foreign Ministry, a Major Producer of Fake
News, Launches Website to Unmask It in Others. The Russian foreign ministry in yet another
Orwellian twist has put up a web page devoted to unmasking fake news but only
what it finds to be fake news released by others and not what many see as the
flood of fake news it produces itself (themoscowtimes.com/news/russias-foreign-ministry-joins-the-battle-against-fake-news-seriously-57243
and newsland.com/community/politic/content/v-novom-razdele-na-saite-mid-rossii-poiavilis-pervye-feikovye-novosti-smi/5697916).
9.
37
Languages in Russian Federation Either Dead or Near Death. Experts say that 37 languages that used to be
spoken by peoples living in what is now the Russian Federation are extinct or
are at the brink of dying in the next few years (nazaccent.ru/content/23243-nency-i-hanty-poprosili-putina-zashitit.html).
Some of those at risk are fighting back.
Ingushetia’s government has ordered that all meetings in its education
ministry must be in Ingush rather than Russian (kavtoday.ru/28664?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=183&utm_term=28664),
and some numerically small peoples of the North have appealed to Putin to
protect their languages by blocking the influx of Russian speakers (nazaccent.ru/content/23243-nency-i-hanty-poprosili-putina-zashitit.html
and nazaccent.ru/content/23240-gektar-dlya-korennyh.html).
10.
Moscow Mufti Asks
Saudis to Allow Gastarbeiters to Use Some of Russia’s Haj Slots. Ravil Gainutdin, the head of the Council of
Muftis of Russia (SMR), has appealed to the Saudi authorities to allow Russia
to include 300 to 400 Central Asian and Caucasian migrant workers among the
20,500 haj slots that Riyadh has allocated to Russia (ru.sputnik-tj.com/russia/20170221/1021737889/hadj-centralnaya-aziya-migranti.html).
On the one hand, this will allow Russia to fill its quota, something it did not
do last year because of economic problems; and on the other, it will give
Moscow significant leverage over the predominantly Muslim gastarbeiter
community.
11.
Moscow Wants
100,000 Russians to Study in Chinese Universities by 2020. Even though only
about 16,000 Russians are now enrolled in higher educational institutions in
China, Moscow would like to see that number rise six-fold over the next three
years to 100,000, something that will require a dramatic expansion of Chinese
language instruction in Russia and may create problems in China (demoscope.ru/weekly/2017/0715/s_map.php#1).
12.
Moscow Wouldn’t
Have Problems Baltic-Style Non-Recognition Policy on Crimea. According to one
Moscow analyst, the Russian government would not be averse to seeing the West
adopt a non-recognition policy with respect to Crimea modelled on the one it
employed against the Soviet occupation of the Baltic countries. That earlier
approach, the analyst says, satisfied Washington’s need to symbolically support
the Baltic countries but did not get in the way of cooperation between the US
and Moscow (politexpert.net/29169-ukraina-v-prolete-zapad-gotovit-dlya-kryma-pribaltiiskii-scenarii).
13.
House on the
Embankment Marks 86th Anniversary.
The House on the Embankment, erected in 1931 to house Soviet officials
and their families and made famous around the world by Yuri Trifonov’s novel,
is now 86 years old. Because so many
Soviet officials passed through it, often on their way to the GULAG or death,
its historians say, the building is filled with real and imagined ghosts (chaskor.ru/article/dom_na_naberezhnoj_41524).
And six more from
countries near Russia:
1.
Ukrainian
President Says West Must Not ‘Appease’ Russia.
Petro Poroshenko has called on the West not to “appease” Vladimir Putin
and his regime, an appeal that calls attention to the ways in which what some
Western leaders have been doing in recent years recalls the failed policies of
Britain and France in the years before World War II (mobile.nytimes.com/aponline/2017/02/17/world/europe/ap-eu-ukraine.html). At the same time, Kyiv experts argue that
Ukraine must use all legal means to hold Moscow accountable even if it is a
near certainty that the Kremlin will ignore any decision taken against it (qha.com.ua/ru/politika/ukraina-vs-rossiya-mejdunarodnopravovoi-front-konflikta/171110/).
2.
SIPRI Documents
Moscow’s Supplying Heavy Weapons to Donbass.
The Russian government has introduced troops and provided heavy weapons
to those fighting against Kyiv in Ukraine’s Donbass, the respected security
analytic center SIPRI says (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58AD496D10A54).
The Russian government clearly has enough money to do that, but it doesn’t have
enough to feed its own people or to annex eastern Ukraine, according to Moscow
commentator Yevgeniya Albats (echo.msk.ru/programs/personalno/1931524-echo/).
3. Kyiv Urged to Recognize Passports of Russia’s
Non-Russian Republics, Regions. Now
that Vladimir Putin has decided to recognize as official documents, the
passports issued by the so-called Donetsk Peoples Republic and Luhansk People’s
Republic in Ukraine’s Donbass, some Ukrainian commentators have urged that Kyiv
announce that it will recognize the passports some non-Russian republics and
Russian regions have issued as equally authoritative (afterempire.info/2017/02/19/symmetric-responce/ and facebook.com/vadim.shtepa/posts/1401444319906554). Meanwhile, Belarusian officials say that they do not
recognize as official documents the passports the two breakaway regions of
Ukraine have issued (newsland.com/community/5206/content/gospogrankomitet-vezd-v-belarus-po-dokumentam-dnr-i-lnr-seichas-nevozmozhen/5695467).
4.
Street
in Russian-Occupied Simferopol to be Named for Churkin. Occupation officials in Ukraine’s Simferopol
says that they will name a street there for Vitaly Churkin, who until his
recent death was Russia’s permanent representative to the UN and who earlier in
career gained notoriety as a Soviet diplomat for his defense of Moscow’s
shooting down of the KAL flight in 1983 (znak.com/2017-02-24/imenem_churkina_predlozhili_nazvat_ulicu_v_simferopole).
5.
Afghanistan’s
Ambassador in Moscow Says Tajikistan is ‘a Russian country with a Powerful Drug
Mafia.’ In most undiplomatic language, Afghanistan’s
ambassador to the Russian Federation described Tajikistan, which neighbors his
homeland, as “a Russian state” that has “a powerful drug mafia” (news.tj/ru/news/tajikistan/politics/20170110/posol-afganistana-v-moskve-nazval-tadzhikistan-russkoi-stranoi-s-motshnoi-narkomafiei).
6.
Nazarbayev Says
Officials Who Respond in Russia to Those Speaking Kazakh Will Be Fired. In the latest
move in his effort to promote the national language, Kazakhstan President
Nursultan Nazarbayev has issued an order that will require that any official
who responds in Russian to people who appeal to them in Kazakh will be fired (newsland.com/community/politic/content/nazarbaev-poruchil-uvolniat-tekh-kto-otvechaet-russkogovoriashchim-na-kazakhskom/5697643).
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