Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 20 – Even as
Vladimir Putin decreed that Moscow recognizes documents issued by its clients
the Donetsk Peoples Republic and the Luhansk Peoples Republic, Russian
officials in at least seven places in the Donbass were handing out Russian
passports, a repetition of what Moscow did in South Ossetia in 2008.
The two steps are in fact interrelated,
Aleksandr Artishchenko and Lidiya Grigoryeva of the Versia portal suggest. They
mean that residents of the DNR and LNR can now take Russian citizenship on the
basis of their own documents rather than on those of Ukraine, thus easing and
accelerating the process (versia.ru/novye-grazhdane-rossii-iz-dnr-i-lnr-zhdut-vezhlivyx-lyudej).
And that in turn suggests three more
important things, the two authors say. First, it is an indication that Moscow may
very well have had enough with negotiating about the fate of the Donbass and is
prepared to live with or at least threaten to live with a frozen conflict there
for a long time.
Second, it is a statement of
contempt about Western sanctions, an indication to the world that Moscow is no
longer impressed by them or affected by them in such a profound way that there
is any chance that it will change its policy in Ukraine no matter how long they
remain in place.
And third, it creates a situation in
which Moscow can, as it has in South Ossetia, gradually move toward annexation,
something that Artishchenko and Grigoryeva say there is ever more support for
in Russia. They say that there will be demonstrations in support of that across
Russia next weekend.
The two add that one need not be “a
prophet to predict what is going to follow:” in the immediate future, people
behind the borders of the LNR and DNR including the rest of Novorossiya will
want these passports because having them will confer real advantages whatever
the future may bring.
And one more thing is “not excluded,”
the two say. Soon it will be difficult
for those who have only a Ukrainian passport to work in Russia, while those
with DNR and LNR passports will find it quite easy. That too will have an
impact on Ukraine and work to Moscow’s benefit, they argue.
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