Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 23 – Only 51,600
of the more than 470,000 Belarusians – roughly five percent of the country’s
population -- who have been billed for Minsk’s new vagrants tax have refused to
pay, an indication of just how angry the Belarusian people are at this
recrudescence of a Soviet practice and how much danger Alyaksandr Lukashenka is
now in.
Some of them have appealed to the courts,
but so far, Lukashenka’s judiciary has turned them down arguing they do not
have standing to sue. But as Gennady Fedynich, the head of the Belarusian Radio
and Electronics Industry Union, points out, no one has the right to prevent
suits against the tax authorities (belprauda.org/gennadij-fedynich-pustymi-obeshchaniami-protestnye-nastroenia-ne-sobiosh/).
His union is
helping those the government seeks to extract the vagrants tax from to sue because
it recognizes that this Lukashenka action has become “the last drop which
overfilled the cup of people’s patience” given that it came on the heels of an
increase in retirement age, increases in communal services rates, and problems
with various industries.
The vagrants decree simply “eclipsed” all these other problems because
it “touched a significant part of the population” and people have gone into the
streets as a group rather than as individuals, Fedynich says. If the regime
were smart, it would suspend the decree “for an indefinite period.”
Given
how angry people are and how they feel they have found their collective voice
via the demonstrations, the union leader continues, any further “tightening of
the screws” could have unpredictable consequences. But one thing is now clear, no
one is willing to go back where they were even a month ago.
The government isn’t doing anything
to help the population, and its propagandist claims fall flat when people know the truth. An official in Brest oblast said that 13,000
people there had been freed from paying the vagrants tax; but then it turned
out, Fedynich says, that “more than 12,000” of these work abroad and thus weren’t
subject to it to begin with.
Belarusian commentator Svetlana
Metelkina, writing in the opposition paper Salidarnasts
concurred. She argues that there is “one
hero” in the current dramatic confrontation between the Belarusian people and
Lukashenka -- the wallets people keep their money in and can use to measure
reality against his promises (gazetaby.com/cont/art.php?sn_nid=123242).
For all groups in the population, “our
wallets are the most important indicator of the capabilities of the Belarusian
economic model! The basic measure of the correctness of the course that has
been chosen! And no matter how much Lukashenka makes fabulous promises, our
wallets allow us to understand that these are [nothing but] fairy tales.”
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