Paul Goble
Staunton,
August 9 – Vladimir Putin’s attack on Georgia in 2008 was the “first of the
Putin wars of a new kind,” Arkady Babchenko says; and the West not only did not
understand what the Kremlin leader was doing but did not want to understand
because then it would have had to do something.
But
the West’s denial, the Ukrainian journalist says, meant that Putin’s approach
in Georgia – the denials, the use of “puppet quasi-states, and so on – would
become his approach in Ukraine and Syria and will be extended to other places
unless and until Western leaders understand what this approach means (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5B6B38ED04072).
Many have suggested that the West’s
failure to respond to Russian aggression against Georgia led directly to the
annexation of Crimea, the war in the Donbass, and Moscow’s moves in Syria; but
Babchenko is making a larger and in many ways more important point: the West
didn’t understand because it did not want to understand.
“All the technologies Russia is
applying now in Ukraine were forged then. The present-day DNR and LNR were forged
then. The present ‘we’re not there’ lies were forced then. The present
zombification was born and began to grow there, Babchenko says.
“Then the world did not understand
this,” he continues. “It did not want to understand.” Instead it talked about peacemaking
by the sides in the conflict instead of about repelling the aggressor and
occupier. It was not prepared to call things, including war and aggression, by
their own names. And to a large extent, it still isn’t prepared lest it be
forced to act forcefully.
“As a result,” he says, “we have
what we have.” And what we will continue to have if the world continues in
denial about what Putin’s Russia is all about. But that dangerous trajectory is
not only affecting what Moscow does abroad but what Moscow does at home – and
perhaps some will be concerned about that, Babchenko continues.
In 2008, some Russians were able to
go into the streets with slogans like “I am Georgia.” Today, because Putin has
tightened his grip, few will risk doing the same with ones like “I am
Ukraine.” That means that Putin will not
be constrained by his own population; and if he is going to be stopped from a
repetition of his war in Georgia, outsiders must help.
They didn’t do enough in Georgia a
decade ago; they aren’t yet willing to do enough in Ukraine now. But if they want to have a peaceful world,
they must face their fears, recognize the nature of Moscow’s aggression and
take steps to repel it rather than allowing Putin a seat at the table to
resolve “conflicts.”
Those “conflicts” are things he as
an aggressor has created. They must be repelled rather than become the object
of talks.
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